Mets Still Have A Kodai Senga Decision That Could Change Everything

With the Mets scrutinizing their roster ahead of a pivotal offseason, decisions on Kodai Senga's role and the fate of emerging prospects could shape their future towards contention.

The Mets may be barreling toward the finish line with little left to salvage in the standings, but September still matters for one big reason: this month could shape how the front office attacks the offseason.

With 18 regular-season games left, the club still has some real decisions to make before winter arrives. And at the center of that process is a familiar name who suddenly looks like a possible answer in a very different role.

Kodai Senga has become one of the more interesting variables on the roster. After looking like he might be on the way out, he has revived his value as a reliever, working to a 3.91 ERA with six saves.

His stuff plays up over shorter outings, and his two best pitches fit naturally in an inning at a time. The idea of him finishing games as a hard-throwing late-inning weapon is easy to see.

But that idea comes with real complications. Senga has made it clear he wants to return to the rotation, so a permanent move to the bullpen may not be his preference.

And while the results have been encouraging, the Mets still have to weigh whether what he has done in lower-pressure spots will hold up when the outs get heavier and the games mean more. His performance in big moments over the last couple of years leaves that very much in question.

So the Mets need the rest of September to tell them more. They’ll have to look beyond the surface numbers and try to figure out what they really have in Senga. A setup role is still on the table, and whatever they decide will ripple through the rest of the bullpen plan.

There’s another cluster of decisions coming, too, and it centers on the group once dubbed “The Baby Mets.” Brett Baty, Mark Vientos and Francisco Alvarez were supposed to be part of the next wave.

That looked like one of the bright spots of 2024. Now it feels like a long time ago.

Vientos appears to be the most vulnerable of the three. He looks like a non-tender candidate this offseason, even though he has shown some power since coming off the IL. For the most part, though, he has been a non-factor at the plate.

Baty has offered a little more lately, especially with a few clutch hits, and his versatility gives him some appeal as a super-utility piece. Even so, that same versatility has come at a cost this year, particularly offensively. The Mets have to decide whether the tradeoff is worth it or whether they could find a depth option who brings steadier offense and better defense.

Alvarez is the most frustrating case of all. The former No. 1 prospect in baseball still hasn’t come close to matching that hype, and his production has slipped both offensively and defensively this season.

The Mets passed on moving him at the Trade Deadline because of the power and talent still in the profile, but he has been a net negative since the All-Star break. If he closes the year in a slump, the club may have to seriously consider moving on, especially with Luis Torrens under contract.

The rotation brings its own set of questions, even if Nolan McLean, Christian Scott and Zac Thornton look like the clearest building blocks for 2027. McLean has shown he can be the ace of the staff, while Scott and Thornton have each flashed plenty of upside.

After that, the picture gets murkier. Sean Manaea had looked like his old self after rejoining the rotation, but the wheels have come off lately. He has given up 20 earned runs over his last five starts, and the Mets still need to determine which version of Manaea is the real one.

Jonah Tong is another name to watch in the final stretch. The hope is that he can finish strong and prove he is ready to become a full-time major league starter. If he does, the Mets might only need a couple of veterans to round out the rotation and could direct the rest of their attention elsewhere this winter.

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Jonah Tong Just Showed The Trait Mets Need In Their Rotation

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Mets interim manager Andy Green pointed to Tongs growth through adversity, and its easy to see why that would matter to a staff looking for stability. The rotation does not need every arm to be perfect, but it does need pitchers who can take a punch, reset and keep the game from slipping away. Tongs ability to do that, along with the possibility of help from other pitchers moving forward, gives the Mets something worth tracking as they try to firm up the group behind their top options. [Read more 🡒]