The Mets are moving quickly on the biggest arm in this winter’s market, and Tarik Skubal’s timeline may force the issue.
According to Jon Heyman of the New York Post, Skubal is scheduled to meet with the Mets in California next week. Heyman also said Skubal and his agent, Scott Boras, will be meeting with interested clubs throughout the week, with the Mets and San Diego Padres singled out as teams to watch. The Los Angeles Dodgers, Skubal’s current team, have not shown their hand, but Heyman suggested they could become a factor if the process stretches out.
The most important detail in Heyman’s report is the timing. Skubal reportedly wants to sign before Dec. 1, the date when baseball’s current collective bargaining agreement is set to expire. That matters because a deal done before a possible lockout would need to be grandfathered into whatever new CBA follows, and Skubal is said to be looking for a contract of at least seven years.
That puts the Mets in a spot where acting fast could pay off. David Stearns has generally avoided long-term deals for starting pitchers, but Skubal may be the exception. The Mets need an ace, and he is the best pitcher available.
There is also a bigger economic layer hanging over the chase. If the league moves to a salary cap or adds tougher penalties for going over the luxury tax, the rules for free agents could change dramatically. Signing Skubal now would give both sides more certainty before that happens.
The Mets also have the kind of payroll structure that could make a long deal workable. Stearns has kept long-term money off the books, with Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto the only players under guaranteed contracts beyond the 2028 season. If a cap system arrives with a grace period for teams to get compliant, New York would be in position to manage it.
And there is another reason to move before the market shifts: competition. Heyman noted that several teams are unsure how to approach the winter because of the uncertainty around the sport’s financial future, and once that clears up, more clubs could jump into the bidding. If Skubal remains unsigned after a work stoppage, the Dodgers could loom much larger as a threat thanks to their financial muscle.
For the Mets, this is the kind of fit that is hard to overlook. Skubal would address their biggest need right away, and the short-term impact could outweigh any long-term injury concerns. That is why this feels like a moment for New York to push hard and not let the market get away from them.
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