Mets Face A Big Rotation Decision This Offseason

Deck: As the New York Mets prioritize strengthening their starting rotation, a strategic trade becomes a viable option that could alter the team's competitive landscape.

The Mets have already made it clear what needs fixing this offseason: the rotation. David Stearns said as much at his end-of-season press conference, and that puts New York in the market for real innings, not just arm depth.

Tarik Skubal is the dream target. If the Mets somehow land him, they’d be adding one of the best pitchers in baseball, the kind of arm that can sit at the front of a staff for years.

Even then, one major addition probably wouldn’t be enough. The Mets still need another starter who can give them quality work every fifth day.

That search could lead them to free agency, where Robbie Ray and Kevin Gausman both fit the bill. But if Steve Cohen is serious about dialing back the spending, there’s another path: trade for Twins ace Joe Ryan.

The fit with Minnesota makes a lot of sense on paper, especially after Stearns brought Derek Falvey into New York’s front office. Falvey was the one who acquired Ryan in July 2021, back when he was running baseball operations for the Twins.

Ryan is also the type of pitcher Minnesota could realistically move. The Twins tried to buy at this year’s trade deadline, but the moves didn’t work, and they finished below .500 in a weak American League. That kind of season can change a club’s thinking quickly, especially with Ryan not reaching free agency until after the 2027 season.

He’d give the Mets the kind of dependable season they need. Ryan went 7-10 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 27 starts, and he’s in a similar position to Freddy Peralta when the Mets acquired him last winter. If Minnesota puts him on the market, there should be plenty of interest.

The Mets could still put together a package that would matter to the Twins. The proposed return would center on big leaguers, which gives Minnesota help right away and keeps the deal from being built around long-term lottery tickets.

In that framework, Baty gives the Twins a useful option at second or third base, a real consideration with Royce Lewis making frequent trips to the injured list. The bigger prize for Minnesota, though, would be Thornton. The Mets got a clear development win with Thornton, who went 5-6 with a 3.42 ERA in 15 major league starts in 2026, and he projects as someone who could help a rotation for years.

New York can afford that kind of loss because there are more arms coming. Jack Wenninger, Jonah Tong and Jonathan Santucci are all in the pipeline, and that gives the Mets some cover if they move Thornton.

Guzman would be the third piece, and he brings first-base upside with some pop after finishing the year strong at High-A Brooklyn. Losing him would sting, since he could become a long-term answer at first, but the Twins could move him along quickly.

For the Mets, the appeal is obvious: land Ryan, chase Skubal, and suddenly the rotation looks dangerous. For Minnesota, the sell is just as clear: turn one pitcher before free agency into multiple big-league pieces who can help for years instead of risking a qualifying-offer standoff and losing him later.

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