The Mets’ 2026 rotation left plenty to fix, but the second half of the season at least gave a glimpse of what the next wave might look like. New York finished with a 4.47 ERA from its starters, good for 19th in MLB, and the problems were easy to spot: Freddy Peralta’s underwhelming run in Queens and Clay Holmes’s injury-shortened season among them.
Even with that mess, three arms separated themselves enough to look like real pieces for 2027. Nolan McLean, Christian Scott and Zac Thornton combined for a 3.42 ERA in 2026, and that kind of production is why all three appear to have locked down spots in the rotation.
McLean looks like the headliner. His eight starts in 2025 weren’t a fluke, and he backed that up this year in a way that should put him in the mix for NL Rookie of the Year votes.
Thornton came out of nowhere for a lot of Mets fans and gave the club a left-handed starter it badly needed. His outing against the New York Yankees on September 12 stood out, especially after Mets manager Andy Green chose to keep him in after a mound visit and let him finish the seventh inning. Thornton rewarded that trust by allowing just two earned runs over seven innings with four strikeouts, and he didn’t give up more than two earned runs in either of his final two starts.
Scott’s story was about recovery. He missed all of 2025 after Tommy John surgery and had only appeared in nine games in 2024, but he showed he could still be part of the plan when healthy. Youth is the common thread with that trio, and that matters for what the Mets are trying to build.
Beyond those three, the picture gets murkier. Sean Manaea, Jonah Tong and Kodai Senga could all have roles in the 2027 rotation, but each comes with major questions.
Manaea’s 2026 season never settled into a clear rhythm. He flashed the version of himself the Mets saw in 2024, but not often enough to make him anything more than a candidate for a fifth-starter job.
Tong spent most of the year in Triple-A. He stumbled early, then put together strong July and August that earned him another shot in the majors, where he showed flashes of the pitcher the Mets believe he can become.
Green addressed Tong’s place with a blunt message: "Been forthright with him - what does an organization desperately need to win a World Series? You need guys that are 6 and 7 starters that start the year in Triple-A that can come up and dominate.
You don't win…"
Senga’s path is even less certain. His starting days may already be over, and his Mets future might have been in danger too if not for how well he handled a move to the bullpen.
With Devin Williams unavailable, Senga stepped in as the closer and stabilized the back end despite never having worked that role before. Whether he’s in the bullpen in 2027 or even still on the roster remains unclear, but putting him back into the rotation would be a surprise unless injuries force the issue.
If the Mets keep the 2027 staff internal and avoid outside additions, they can still assemble a rotation with upside. But after the risks David Stearns took last offseason, it’s hard to imagine him stopping there.
Stearns said in his end-of-season press conference that adding to the rotation would be "necessary," and the market does offer veteran options. Tarik Skubal is the big name, while Michael King and Robbie Ray would bring the kind of experience this group otherwise lacks.
However it plays out, the Mets have a real winter decision ahead. The young core is there, but the final shape of the 2027 rotation still depends on how aggressively Stearns chooses to supplement it.
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