The Knicks are finally at the point where the real rotation questions can start getting answered, and the cleanest place to begin is with the five guys at the top. Jalen Brunson, Josh Hart, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby, and Karl-Anthony Towns are set to remain the starting lineup, just as they did last season, and that figure should hold unless injuries force a change.
What may look different is the workload around that group. New York is coming off a postseason run that pushed all the way to June 13, which was weeks longer than almost every other team in the league, and this is hardly a young roster that can just bounce right back. With a shortened offseason in the mix, it would not be a shock if the starters are eased in with slightly lighter minutes early on.
Brunson averaged 35 minutes per game last season, but a range closer to 32 or 33 feels possible in the first stretch. Anunoby, Bridges, and Towns, who last year landed between 33.2 and 31 minutes per night, could sit closer to 30.
Still, the schedule may have other ideas. The Knicks open with a difficult six-game run that includes the 76ers twice, plus matchups with the Celtics, Magic, and Pistons.
If those games turn competitive, the starters may be asked to log their usual heavier minutes right away.
Behind them, the Knicks do not have a classic sixth man in the old-school sense. There is no prime Jamal Crawford or J.R.
Smith waiting to change games off the bench, and no reserve is expected to crack 30 minutes per night. But Landry Shamet and Miles McBride are the two bench pieces most likely to finish games and regularly drift into the high 20s.
Mike Brown clearly likes Shamet, and James L. Edwards of The Athletics believes Shamet could wind up playing more than McBride this season. McBride had a preseason that was uneven outside of the final game, but he remains important to what the Knicks want to do, and the team may also want to get as much out of him as possible before the offseason brings the possibility of losing him.
Last season, Shamet averaged 23 minutes per game and McBride averaged 26.3, and both could see those numbers rise early, especially with Shamet coming off what was described as a very solid preseason overall.
There are still other rotation pieces who should matter. Jose Alvarado, Mohamed Diawara, and Andre Drummond are not going to draw the same attention as Shamet and McBride, but they still have real roles.
Alvarado, who averaged 16.9 minutes as a Knick last season, could pick up a bit more run in his first full season with the team. Drummond should land around 20 minutes per game, right in line with what Mitchell Robinson averaged last season.
Diawara is the hardest of the group to pin down. He is still inexperienced and had a very mediocre Summer League and preseason, which could push Brown toward Jordan Clarkson early. If the Knicks are leaning on the starters heavily because of that rough opening schedule, the minutes for Alvarado, Diawara, and Drummond could all look modest in the first two weeks.
Clarkson could factor in at times later on depending on Diawara’s play and development, but he is not expected to open the season in a major role. The two real fringe players are Tyler Kolek and James Wiseman.
Kolek’s path is blocked by Brunson and Alvarado, though he could still surface for spot minutes if Alvarado hits a slump or gets hurt, just as he did last season. Wiseman’s role should be limited as well, but Towns has not yet fully cleared the foul trouble concern and Drummond has missed plenty of games over the past two seasons.
Neither big man will be in every game, and both should still manage a few minutes per night and finish the season somewhere in the 500-700 minute range.
Even with all that uncertainty, Kolek and Wiseman still have ways to get on the floor. Pacome Dadiet does not really have that same path.
He is buried behind multiple players at his position, which means Brown has plenty of other options before he would even need to consider Dadiet. The third-year player may get occasional minutes as the team tries to showcase him for a possible boost in trade value, and he will continue to see garbage-time run in blowouts.
But when it comes to the actual rotation, Dadiet is on the outside looking in.
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It made for a sharp reminder of how much the Garden can still turn into a referendum on star power, especially when James has long talked about the idea of playing and even finishing his career there. But this is also a fan base that has grown more attached to its own team after recent championship success, and the nights hostility did not stop with James, as Philadelphia center Joel Embiid also drew chants from the crowd. [Read more 🡒]
