Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Ty Simpson is generating plenty of buzz as we approach the 2026 NFL Draft. While he's often seen as the second-best passer behind Indiana Hoosiers' standout Fernando Mendoza, his path to the first round isn't set in stone.
There's chatter, notably from ESPN's Matt Miller, about the possibility of Simpson sliding in the draft. This scenario echoes last year's unexpected tumble of Cleveland Browns QB Shedeur Sanders, who was picked in the fifth round at No.
- It's a reminder that draft day can be full of surprises.
In ESPN's latest mock draft, Mel Kiper Jr. projects the New York Jets to snag Simpson with the 33rd pick in the second round. The Jets, holding picks No. 2 and No. 16 in the first round, might be tempted to use one on Simpson.
However, investing high draft capital on a quarterback with limited starting experience can be risky. Simpson's 15 starts over four seasons in Tuscaloosa fall short of the typical 25-30 starts seen in successful NFL quarterbacks.
Kiper suggests there's less risk in picking Simpson in the second round. "The Jets can roll with Geno Smith initially, allowing Simpson time to develop," Kiper notes. "His pocket presence and accuracy are promising, but he needs seasoning."
The quarterback class this year isn't particularly deep, which might elevate Simpson's draft stock. His 2025 season showcased the arm talent scouts crave, as he tied for 12th in the FBS with 28 touchdown passes and ranked 11th in passing yards with 3,567.
CBS Sports' Mike Renner believes Simpson's tape shows enough potential for a first-round selection. "With more seasoning, he can thrive," Renner asserts.
A scout likened Simpson to San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy, noting that while Simpson might be a better prospect, the right development could unlock his full potential. Purdy, drafted last with pick No. 262 in 2022, had significantly more experience, starting 46 games at Iowa State compared to Simpson's 15 at Alabama.
While Simpson's tools are intriguing, the expectation for first-round quarterbacks to play immediately might not align with his current readiness. Teams eyeing Simpson could wait until the second round, reducing pressure and providing him time to grow into his role. This strategy could be crucial for his long-term success in the NFL.