The New York Jets are facing a pivotal decision when it comes to Breece Hall’s future, and while the franchise tag might seem like the obvious play for a back of his caliber, league sources suggest that’s not the likely route. Instead, the transition tag is emerging as a more realistic option - and it’s not hard to see why.
Let’s break it down: the franchise tag would lock in Hall at a projected $14.5 million guaranteed for the 2026 season. That’s a hefty number for a running back, especially in today’s NFL where the market for the position continues to dip. The transition tag, on the other hand, comes in a couple million cheaper and offers the Jets the right to match any offer Hall might receive in free agency - though it wouldn’t net them any compensation if he walks.
It’s a strategic move that reflects the current climate around running backs. According to league insiders, this offseason is shaping up to be a buyer’s market at the position. Several proven veterans are expected to hit free agency, which could suppress individual price tags and give teams like the Jets more leverage.
Hall’s value isn’t in question - the Jets know what they have. Just this past season, he suited up for 16 games and racked up 1,065 rushing yards on 243 carries, averaging 4.3 yards per tote.
He added 350 receiving yards on 36 catches and found the end zone five times - four on the ground, one through the air. He even tossed a touchdown pass for good measure.
That kind of versatility and production doesn’t grow on trees.
The Jets were well aware of his worth at the trade deadline last season. They reportedly held out for a third-round pick when teams came calling and turned down a fourth-round offer from the Chiefs. That tells you they weren’t just looking to move him for the sake of it - they saw Hall as a core piece, or at the very least, someone worth more than what was being offered.
Drafted 36th overall in the second round of the 2022 NFL Draft, Hall came into the league with serious pedigree. A two-time All-American and two-time Big 12 Player of the Year at Iowa State, he signed a four-year rookie deal worth just over $9 million, including a $3.7 million signing bonus. That deal is now up, making him an unrestricted free agent in 2026.
The Jets have options, but they also have a decision to make. The transition tag gives them flexibility without the full financial commitment of the franchise tag, but it also opens the door for another team to swoop in with a strong offer. And with Hall’s name already appearing on top free-agent lists for 2026, it’s safe to assume there will be interest.
The question now: do the Jets think Hall is worth matching any offer that comes his way? Or do they let him test the market and risk losing one of their most dynamic offensive weapons for nothing in return?
One thing’s clear - Breece Hall has earned attention. Now it’s up to the Jets to decide how much they’re willing to pay to keep it.