The 2026 rookie quarterback class has been slow to break through, but the starts are coming. Through Week 7, none of the 10 quarterbacks selected in April had opened a game for their teams this season, and only one rookie passer - the Buccaneers’ Jalon Daniels - had started at all. The undrafted former Kansas standout went 1-2 while filling in for an injured Baker Mayfield.
That leaves several teams at a crossroads, especially with a few veteran options keeping jobs warm for now. Fernando Mendoza already made his debut in mop-up duty in New England in Week 5, and with the Raiders wobbling after a 3-0 start, he looks like the rookie most likely to get a real look before long. Carson Beck, Cade Klubnik and Cole Payton also sit in line for opportunities as the second half of the season unfolds.
For Las Vegas, the question isn’t whether Mendoza will play, but when. Minority owner Tom Brady and coach Klint Kubiak wanted to keep him behind Kirk Cousins as long as possible, and Cousins has done enough to hold things together.
Even so, the Raiders have dropped four straight, and Kubiak has already said the club needs to reevaluate “everything” after falling to 3-4. He’s not pinning the slide on quarterback play, either, with the run defense and running game taking most of the blame.
The schedule is about to get ugly, though. The Raiders’ next five are at the Jets, at the 49ers, against the Seahawks, at the Broncos and at the Browns.
Given that stretch, it would be a surprise if they are better than 4-8 heading into their Week 13 bye. Cousins can keep rolling while Las Vegas still has real wild-card hopes, but the more sensible move may be to give Mendoza an extended run after the bye.
From Week 14 on, the Raiders get three straight home games, plus dates with the Titans and Cardinals before what could be a Chiefs team resting in Week 18. That would set Mendoza up to finish strong and carry momentum into Year 2, when he would presumably be the Week 1 starter.
Arizona feels like the clearest place for a rookie reset. Jacoby Brissett is throwing a ton - his 282 attempts lead the league - and the Cardinals are still passing at a 62 percent clip under new coach Mike LaFleur after ranking first in pass-play rate last season at 66 percent.
But the production has flattened out. Brissett is at just 5.6 yards per attempt, the downfield game has faded, and too much of the offense runs through tight end Trey McBride.
The record tells the rest of the story. The Cardinals are 2-5, they don’t look like a playoff team out of the NFC West, and Brissett is only under contract through this season.
Beck, the former Miami and Georgia star, had a strong offseason and has the kind of arm that could give LaFleur more aggression pushing the ball downfield. Arizona’s bye doesn’t come until Week 14, but waiting that long would be too much.
A Week 12 home game against the Commanders makes sense before matchups with the Eagles and then the bye. After that, the Jets, Saints and Raiders line up as manageable tests to help Arizona figure out whether Beck can be part of the answer in 2027.
New York is in a different spot, but the logic is similar. Geno Smith has been good enough to keep the Jets afloat, and that matters for a 2-5 team with fading AFC hopes and an uncertain future around Aaron Glenn’s tenure.
Smith has steadied the offense and helped bring along the young playmakers, so benching him now would be hard to justify. Still, the Jets need to see Cade Klubnik in meaningful action at some point.
Smith is signed only through 2026, and Klubnik, a Clemson product, earned the top backup job by turning heads in offseason practice work.
The timing could come after a difficult run. New York faces the Raiders in Week 8, then the Chiefs and Bills, before road games against the Chargers and Dolphins in Weeks 11 and 12.
If the Jets are ready to make the switch, that stretch before their Week 13 bye is the cleanest opening to get Klubnik settled. Like Arizona, New York looks increasingly likely to chase quarterback help high in the 2027 draft, but it would make sense to give the rookie a real evaluation first.
Philadelphia may be the team most clearly moving toward the future. The Eagles are 0-2 with Tanner McKee starting, and the offense has been held together by a reshuffled line, an injury-hit receiver group and a running back room that can’t stay healthy.
At 2-5, with the defense not helping much either, this has the feel of a lost season for Nick Sirianni’s club. McKee is headed for free agency in 2027, and the Eagles recently elevated Joe Milton III to No. 2 before the Monday night game against Dallas while designating Payton as the emergency third quarterback.
Conventional thinking says Milton would get the next opportunity if McKee keeps struggling to move the ball. But Payton brings something the others do not: the running element the Eagles have been missing without Jalen Hurts.
In his final season at North Dakota State, Payton ran for 777 yards and 13 touchdowns, and he posted a 4.56-second 40-yard dash at the Combine. With Philadelphia fading in the NFC picture, there’s a case to find out whether he can be the long-term backup to Hurts, in the same way Tyler Huntley serves as Lamar Jackson’s best No. 2 in Baltimore.
A shot now would make sense, but the more realistic window is sometime after the Week 10 bye.
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