As free agency looms, the New York Jets face a pivotal decision regarding Breece Hall's future. After a standout 2025 season, where he rushed for a career-high 1,065 yards, Hall is undoubtedly seeking a long-term contract that reflects his status among the NFL’s elite running backs.
Yet, the decision rests with the Jets. They have options, including using a transition tag at $11.7 million or a franchise tag for $14.5 million. The transition tag allows Hall to test the waters of free agency, giving the Jets the right to match any offer he receives or let him walk.
Financial considerations are crucial here, especially with the running back market already shifting. Javonte Williams recently inked a three-year, $24 million extension with the Dallas Cowboys, featuring $16 million guaranteed. This deal will undoubtedly influence the Jets' approach with Hall.
Comparing Hall and Williams from the 2025 season, Williams edged Hall in several rushing categories. However, Hall's breakaway rate was notably higher, ranking fifth among 51 qualified running backs, a testament to his explosive playmaking ability.
But context matters. Hall navigated a challenging situation behind a Jets offensive line that ranked 21st in run-blocking with a 59.7 grade, compared to the Cowboys' ninth-ranked line at 71.5.
Additionally, Hall's impact extends beyond the ground game. In 2025, he caught 36 passes for 350 yards and a touchdown, significantly outperforming Williams' 137 receiving yards.
Despite a dip in targets last season, Hall's previous years showcased his prowess as a pass-catching back, amassing 1,074 receiving yards and seven touchdowns from 2023-24. This dual-threat capability bolsters his market value, suggesting he deserves at least $2 million more annually than Williams.
With Williams setting the market at roughly $8 million per year, Hall's unique skill set and proven production could command a multi-year deal in the $10 million per year range. The Jets, and potentially other teams, will have to weigh these factors carefully as they consider Hall's future.