As we approach the thrilling conclusion of the 2025-26 NHL season, the Vezina Trophy race is heating up, spotlighting two standout goalies: Andrei Vasilevskiy of the Tampa Bay Lightning and Ilya Sorokin of the New York Islanders. While others are vying for a finalist nod, these two have emerged as the frontrunners. Let’s break down why each deserves the spotlight, along with some honorable mentions.
Ilya Sorokin, New York Islanders
For much of the season, Vasilevskiy seemed to have the upper hand, but Sorokin has made a compelling case with his recent performances. His 29.7 goals saved above expected (GSAx) leads the NHL, showcasing his ability to outperform expectations regardless of the number of games played.
In comparison, Vasilevskiy ranks fifth with a 22.2 GSAx. Since the Olympic Break, Sorokin has maintained a .896 save percentage, slightly edging out Vasilevskiy’s .891.
Both goalies have similar records during this period, and their season-long save percentages are tied at .912. Sorokin’s seven shutouts this season add to his impressive resume.
Unless Vasilevskiy stages a late-season surge, Sorokin’s advanced stats could tip the scales in his favor.
Andrei Vasilevskiy, Tampa Bay Lightning
Vasilevskiy, the 2019 Vezina winner, still has a strong case for reclaiming the trophy. His 35 wins lead the league, and his goals-against average (GAA) of 2.32 is second-best.
Sorokin trails with a 2.59 GAA. Beyond the numbers, Vasilevskiy’s impact on the Lightning is undeniable.
Tampa Bay boasts a .712 points percentage when he starts, compared to .545 without him. The Islanders, on the other hand, have a .580 points percentage with Sorokin and .517 without.
This underscores Vasilevskiy’s pivotal role in his team’s success. While the Lightning may have more star power, Vasilevskiy’s presence elevates them significantly.
Despite this, Sorokin’s statistical edge keeps him in the conversation.
Vezina Honorable Mentions
Logan Thompson of the Washington Capitals is a strong contender for a finalist spot. He’s tied with Sorokin and Vasilevskiy in save percentage and ranks second in GSAx with 28.2. His 2.46 GAA is better than Sorokin’s, marking him as a formidable candidate, likely finishing third or fourth.
Scott Wedgewood leads the NHL with a 2.19 GAA and a .916 save percentage, but his 16.3 GSAx, ranked eighth, might not be enough to secure the trophy. Playing for the Colorado Avalanche, he benefits from a system that supports goalies well, making him a potential third or fourth-place finisher.
Boston Bruins’ Jeremy Swayman has been on fire recently. After a tough game against Vasilevskiy in the Stadium Series, he’s posted a .923 save percentage and a 28 GSAx, third in the league. Despite his overall .907 save percentage and 2.73 GAA, his late-season performance deserves a nod.
As the race tightens, we’ll revisit these contenders at the season’s end to offer our final prediction for the Vezina Trophy. Stay tuned for what promises to be an exciting finish.