Just when the NFC South starts to feel like it might settle into some kind of order, the division flips the script again. Week 3 left Tampa Bay reeling, Carolina stunned, Atlanta standing alone with a win, and New Orleans dealing with a collapse that felt as ugly as it was avoidable.
The Buccaneers are the biggest mess in the group right now. After their loss to the Minnesota Vikings, it’s fair to wonder whether Todd Bowles could be fired after Week 4.
The final margin was only seven points, but that doesn’t tell the real story. Tampa Bay made too many mistakes, Baker Mayfield never got comfortable, and the night got worse when Mayfield hurt his finger near the end of the game and it looked really bad.
The Bucs get the Packers next, so there’s still a path to a win - but it doesn’t feel like a likely one.
Carolina’s trip to Cleveland brought another surprise, and not the good kind. The Panthers fell to the Browns, which also means Cleveland is now 2-0 against the NFC South so far.
That alone should make the rest of the division pay attention. In this one, Carolina’s defense didn’t do enough against a Browns offense it should have been able to handle, and the loss of star cornerback Jaycee Horn only made matters worse.
Horn went down with an injury and will be out for most of the season. On offense, the Panthers were just as disappointing.
It looked nothing like the group that showed up in the first two weeks.
Atlanta, somehow, was the only NFC South team to come away feeling good about itself. With Michael Penix back, the quarterback situation was under the spotlight, and he handled his first game well.
But the real difference-maker was Bijan Robinson, who took over the game for the Falcons and gave the Packers no room to breathe. This wasn’t a fluky win built on a late break, either.
Atlanta rolled to a 35-14 victory, which makes it hard to blame everything on Green Bay being a disaster. The Falcons get a much clearer test this week when they face the Saints.
And then there’s New Orleans, which walked away from the Raiders game with one of the most frustrating losses since the Drew Brees/Sean Payton era. The Saints should have won.
Instead, they let it slip in a fourth-quarter collapse that was hard to watch. It was one of the first times this team had to deal with adversity while leading, and, like the Ravens last week, it couldn’t answer.
The refs played a role, and some of the calls and no-calls were truly mind-boggling, but New Orleans still had chances to steady itself and couldn’t.
What makes the loss sting even more is that some of the Saints’ early problems actually looked better in this game. The run game was improved, Taliese Fuaga’s blocking was better, the team came out fast, the run defense held up, and the playcalling was sharp at times.
But momentum turned on them, and they never got it back. Travis Etienne’s injury is a major concern, and the Saints need to add an RB before this week’s game.
They also need more help in the pass rush. This defense had its worst game so far in 2026, and the pressure behind Chase Young was basically nonexistent.
With those two areas where they are now, the Saints are going to have a hard time surviving.
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