Patriots Still Hold A Crucial AFC Edge After Costly Loss

The New England Patriots' defeat to the Packers has tightened their playoff race, making upcoming games critical to maintaining their postseason hopes.

The Patriots took a hit in Week 9, but they didn’t lose control of the AFC picture.

New England’s 45-27 loss to the Packers on Sunday made the road tougher, no question. Coming off a Super Bowl berth, the Patriots opened the 2026 season with big expectations, and those haven’t gone anywhere. But this result was a reminder that living up to them may be harder than it first looked.

Even with the defeat, the standings still leave the Patriots in a workable spot. At 5-4, they remain in the mix for a playoff berth and, for now, still have the inside track over the other teams hovering around them.

The AFC East race is the trickier part. The Patriots do hold the head-to-head edge over the Bills after beating them in Buffalo in Week 4, but that only matters so much if New England can’t catch up in the standings. With four losses already on the board, closing that gap will require a strong push from the Patriots and some help from the teams ahead of them.

The rest of the division didn’t do New England many favors. The Jets fell 35-12 to the Chiefs, and the Dolphins, whose only win this season came against New York, dropped a 19-9 decision to the Lions.

In the AFC playoff standings, the Patriots sit seventh behind Buffalo, Denver, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Kansas City and Cincinnati. The Browns are the only other 5-4 team in the conference, and New England currently owns the edge there thanks to a better conference record, plus the strength of victory and strength of schedule tiebreakers. Since the two teams do not meet head-to-head, those numbers could end up carrying real weight later on.

For now, the Patriots are still in the driver’s seat for a postseason spot in the AFC. They gave back some ground on Sunday, but they haven’t given away control.

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