The Patriots walked out of last week with a 17-point win, but the conversation around Drake Maye hasn’t exactly matched the scoreboard. That’s the strange backdrop heading into Sunday: New England is 1-1, the season is still young, and Maye suddenly has a chance to flip the mood with one strong afternoon in Jacksonville.
This wasn’t supposed to look like a soft landing when the schedule came out in May. A road trip to the Jaguars in September sounded rough then, and it still carries plenty of danger now. But it also looks like one of the more workable spots for Maye to shake loose from what has been a six-game stretch without much rhythm.
“I think we’re finding ourselves,” Maye told reporters on Wednesday. “I think any time you get into a new season with new guys, new players, and you’re battling injuries - every team in the league is trying to improve.
Really, for us, it’s about finding ourselves … but at the same time we have plays that are there. … The coaches can call the plays but we gotta make them go.”
One reason this matchup stands out is the way Jacksonville is attacking quarterbacks. The Jaguars are blitzing at their highest rate since 2021, sending extra rushers on 36.7% of dropbacks under second-year defensive coordinator Anthony Campanile. That matters because Maye has handled pressure well this season, completing 78.9% of his passes for 199 yards when blitzed, according to Pete Collins of Boston Sports Zone.
There’s also a stylistic difference here that could work in Maye’s favor. Over his last six games, dating back to the start of last year’s playoff run, the Patriots have run into defenses that can get home without blitzing and force quarterbacks into ugly decisions behind the line. The Texans, Broncos, Seahawks, and Steelers all fit that mold, and the Texans, Seahawks, and Steelers have leaned heavily on zone looks that have given Maye trouble, especially against split-field and rotational concepts like Cover 6.
Jacksonville doesn’t fit that same profile. The Jaguars rank 14th in man coverage rate, and New England should see less zone and more pressure-driven looks than it has against some of those other tough opponents. That makes this a different kind of test - and maybe a better one for Maye.
The other part of the equation is what Jacksonville has actually done against the pass through two weeks. The numbers aren’t pretty.
The Jaguars are 28th in opponent completion percentage at 71.7%, with only the Cowboys, Titans, Buccaneers, and Dolphins worse. They’re also 31st in opponent yards per pass attempt, which is especially notable because Maye and the Patriots led the NFL in that category during the 2025 season.
The competition hasn’t exactly been a murderer’s row either. Jacksonville has faced the Browns and Broncos, two teams that aren’t known for lighting up defenses through the air. Still, the openings have been there, and that should give New England a chance to stack completions and generate yards after the catch.
The challenge is turning those chances into touchdowns. Jacksonville has allowed the league’s sixth-fewest points through two games, so moving the ball is only part of the job. Finishing drives is where this has to get real for the Patriots.
Then there’s the weather. September in Florida is no joke, but Maye has already shown he can handle it.
He grew up in North Carolina, played at UNC, and last year in Week 2 at Miami he put up a 137.2 passer rating. Sunday’s game in Jacksonville will be outdoors in 80-degree heat, and if there’s a setting that fits a quarterback looking for a breakthrough, this is close to it.
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