The AFC picture is already coming into focus before the 2026-2027 NFL season even kicks off. With preseason games winding down and roster battles still raging, there are a handful of teams that look positioned to control their divisions, plus a few more that should have enough punch to sneak in as wild cards and make some noise once January arrives.
At the top of the board, the Buffalo Bills are the pick to take the AFC East. Joe Brady is stepping in as Buffalo’s head coach, and the pressure is obvious from the start. The city expects quick results, and the belief here is that Brady gets the offense rolling and pushes the Bills back to the top of the division.
The AFC North is projected to go back to Cincinnati. After a rough 2025 season, one defined by Joe Burrow’s second injury in three years, the Bengals are expected to get better fortune this time around. Burrow is forecast to stay healthy, the defensive upgrades are supposed to matter, and MVP Joe Burrow is predicted to steer Cincinnati into the postseason as division champs.
In the AFC South, the Houston Texans are the call. This is being framed as a crucial season for C.J.
Stroud after last year’s disappointing playoff showing. The defense is expected to do what it has done before and carry Houston back to the top of the division.
The AFC West goes to the Los Angeles Chargers. Even with a makeshift offensive line, they managed to survive the 2025 season. Now, with the line healthy and another year in Jim Harbaugh’s system, the Chargers are expected to put it all together and win the division.
The wild card race should be led by three teams that missed out on division titles but still have real postseason upside. Denver is one of them.
The Broncos are coming off one of their strongest seasons in recent memory, and the expectation is that if quarterback Bo Nix stays healthy, they have a legitimate chance to represent the AFC in last season’s Super Bowl. Even so, Denver is projected to fall just short of the AFC West crown and settle for a wild card berth.
New England is another team expected to get back in. Mike Vrabel’s first season as head coach was a strong one, though some regression is anticipated.
Still, not enough is expected to knock the Patriots out of the playoff field. They’ll face tougher regular-season competition, but the prediction has them grabbing an AFC wild card and bringing their playoff experience into another January run, with an eye on avenging last season’s Super Bowl dismantling.
The final wild card spot goes to Kansas City. Last season went sideways for a Chiefs team that the league has gotten used to seeing near the top, and Patrick Mahomes’ ACL injury in mid-December ended the playoff chase quickly.
Now the organization enters a new season with Travis Kelce in the final year of his Hall of Fame career and the Reid, Mahomes, Kelce dynasty nearing its twilight. Even so, the Chiefs are expected to bounce back from the heartbreak and return to the postseason as an AFC wild card team.
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Patriots Suddenly Have A Real Center Battle To Watch
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Head coach Mike Vrabel came away impressed with how Rizy handled the moment, which gives the Patriots something worth monitoring as the preseason rolls on. Browns absence opens the door for more work in the coming games, and with the center spot now looking far less settled than it did a week ago, Rizy has a real chance to keep turning an emergency appearance into a legitimate audition. [Read more 🡒]