Nebraska Faces One Huge Test It Has Failed For Years

As Nebraska gears up for another unpredictable season, skepticism lingers amid the promising yet unproven potential of the Huskers' latest roster under Coach Matt Rhule.

Fall camp is nearly done, and with it goes the annual wave of offseason hope. For Nebraska, the preseason picture wasn’t exactly flattering: the initial coaches Top 25 featured eight Big Ten teams, and the Huskers were nowhere to be found. They also drew no votes in the preseason AP poll.

That kind of omission lands because it fits the larger Nebraska story. The Huskers keep running into the same problem once the games start for real, especially in November, where Matt Rhule’s record has been rough. The roster may look better on paper than it has in recent seasons, but Nebraska has still found ways to lose games to teams it probably shouldn’t have - 2023 Maryland, 2024 UCLA, 2025 Minnesota among them - because the edge in the big moments hasn’t been there.

Rhule has said this is his best team yet, and there’s at least a case for that. But camp has offered only a few firm answers.

The Blackshirts are set to use 4-2-5 personnel, and the offense will lean on some form of spread attack with a quarterback run game. Beyond that, Nebraska has kept things close to the vest.

There’s optimism around new defensive coordinator Rob Aurich, with the belief that he can eventually get Nebraska back among the elite defenses in the sport. The approach is being framed as simple, fast, and plenty violent. But “eventually” matters here, because this group may need time.

The back end still raises questions. Dwayne McDougle is viewed as a solid piece, but the safety pairing with Jamir Conn - or maybe Caleb Benning - is still something to sort out.

Jeremiah Charles had a rough showing last time he was on the field, when Ethan Garbers and a UCLA team that didn’t reach a bowl picked on him. Victor Evans also has to translate from Conference USA, where he was covering Middle Tennessee State slot backs, to the Big Ten’s deeper and more dangerous receiver groups.

At linebacker, Owen Chambliss is drawing plenty of buzz, though there’s still concern about whether he’s fully back from his toe injury. Dexter Foster brings physicality, but there are also run-fit questions after what was seen on film in Corvallis.

Vincent Shavers remains a player people want to see turn promise into production. Jahsear Whittington is another name with upside, and Nebraska may need him to help form a smaller, quicker run-stopping group.

Even so, the defensive line looks like a year away, with Tyson Terry, Dylan Berymon and others still developing.

Up front on offense, the mood is much brighter. Geep Wade’s arrival is a major reason for that.

Nebraska finally has a coach who fits the standard that comes with the program’s offensive line tradition, and the Huskers also added three big transfer pieces. Elijah Pritchett has improved, though his best football still appears to be ahead of him, and right tackle remains unsettled.

The interior, though, should be the strength of the group again.

The quarterback situation is harder to pin down. Anthony Colandrea brings mobility and a live arm, but he also has a history of playing fast and loose with the football.

He’s not Jeff Sims, and he does raise Nebraska’s ceiling. Still, there’s risk baked into his style.

He could just as easily cost Nebraska a game it should win as he could help steal one it has no business taking.

And at quarterback, health is always part of the conversation. More than one signal caller is likely to take meaningful snaps this season, whether because of injury or performance.

Oddsmakers set Nebraska’s win total at 6½, and the range of outcomes looks wide. The floor is 4-8, while the ceiling reaches 10-2 if everything comes together.

Still, the most likely landing spot feels like 6-6. A sweep of the nonconference slate seems possible, and splitting Michigan State and Maryland would fit the forecast here.

Maryland’s talent is still real, though the loss of Zahir Mathis hurts it. Pat Fitzgerald’s team may not be at its peak, but his last year as a head coach ended 1-11, and that lone win came against Nebraska.

Rutgers has never beaten Nebraska, and that doesn’t look like the year it changes. That leaves one win to be found among Illinois, Washington and Iowa, with Colandrea needing to make major plays with both his legs and his arm.

There are plenty of people who see 8-4 or 9-3. That optimism is noted.

But the larger point is simpler: Nebraska is still living in the space between August possibility and November disappointment. Rhule will be back next year, the program will keep building, and the Huskers will have another year of development behind them along with the best freshman quarterback in the country and a group of blue-chip players around him.

Maybe this is the season Nebraska finally turns promise into production. Maybe Colandrea pops, Aurich accelerates the defense, and the Huskers become the team people keep projecting. That’s the appeal of August - everything still feels possible.

But Nebraska has spent too many falls turning that hope into resignation to expect anyone to hand over the benefit of the doubt. This team is going to have to earn it.

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