Coming out of the bye week, No. 23 Mizzou heads to Arkansas with a chance to win its fifth straight in the Battle Line Rivalry, and the setup looks good on paper.
Bill Connelly’s latest SP+ rankings have the Razorbacks at 71st, 11 spots behind Kansas and 37 below Texas A&M, two teams the Tigers beat by a combined 38 points. But SEC games rarely play out neatly, and Arkansas has already spent stretches making life uncomfortable for Missouri opponents. In three of the past four meetings, the Razorbacks either led at halftime, were tied at halftime or were in front in the third quarter against MU.
This year’s Arkansas team has also started to find a little rhythm. After opening 2-3 with blowout losses to Utah, Georgia and Texas A&M, the Razorbacks pushed a top-15 Tennessee team in a narrow loss, then grabbed their first SEC road win since 2024 by beating Vanderbilt 31-21.
“Coach (Ryan) Silverfield and his staff are doing a really good job,” Eli Drinkwitz told reporters on Tuesday. “I think you can see as you watch the tape, they’re forming their identity, they’re sticking with their process, they’re figuring out who they are, and it resulted in their win at Vanderbilt.”
What’s giving Arkansas traction is the ground game. Over the last two weeks, the Razorbacks have leaned hard into running the ball, putting up 75 rushing attempts against Tennessee’s SEC schools across those games.
If you remove the opener against North Alabama, half of Arkansas’ rushing yards this season have come in that two-week stretch. The grades reflect it too, with the Razorbacks posting their best run offense marks of the year at 77.2 and 68.2.
That’s where Missouri’s defense gets put on the spot. The Tigers rank third in the SEC in rushing yards allowed at 103.9 per game, and they’ve already held Florida’s Jadan Baugh to 13 yards on 12 carries.
But the last time Missouri’s defense took the field, it looked a lot more like the version that showed up against Mississippi than the one that handled Florida or Texas A&M. The Tigers gave up a season-high 257 rushing yards to Mississippi and earned a 55.5 PFF run-defense grade, their worst of the season. Kewan Lacy ran for 122 yards, Makhi Frazier added 101, and Frazier broke a team-high five missed tackles while finding room through the middle of the defense.
That damage came from a few places. Ole Miss won at the line of scrimmage and opened holes for its backs, while the misdirection helped create easy lanes to the edge. Missouri also missed 14 tackles against the Rebels, a jump from nine combined against Florida and Texas A&M, and that issue came back at the worst possible time in Oxford.
Arkansas now brings in Braylon Russell, a big back Missouri has not faced yet despite his arrival in Fayetteville in 2024. Drinkwitz pointed to him as a problem type the Tigers have seen before.
“They’ve got good players, obviously, besides Chris Marshall and KJ Jackson, the running back, Braylen Russell has been a talented big back,” Drinkwitz said. “That has given us problems in the past, if you think about (Fluff) Bothwell and some of those guys, that’s going to be a real challenge for us.”
Bothwell gave Missouri fits, forcing nine missed tackles while averaging 3.96 yards after contact. Russell fits that same mold: 6-foot-1, 227 pounds, a bruising runner who got a bigger workload at Vanderbilt, carrying 14 times for his most attempts since Week 1. Most of his production came between the tackles.
He won’t be the only part of Arkansas’ rushing plan, either. Jackson can add yards at quarterback, and Sutton Smith and Cam Settles both have more than 40 carries this season, giving the Razorbacks enough options to stay physical and keep legs fresh.
It’s not a flashy attack, but Arkansas has committed to it, and Missouri gets the matchup after an uneven day against Mississippi. That same style of runner will show up again later for the Tigers in CJ Baxter at Kentucky, another 6-foot-1, 227-pound back on the No. 1 team in the SEC standings.
So while Missouri enters as a 10-point road favorite and the better team on paper, Arkansas still offers a useful stress test. The Razorbacks may not be explosive, but they can grind, and that makes this a real measuring stick for a Missouri run defense looking for a cleaner answer after its last outing.
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The matchup offers Missouri a useful SEC measuring stick because Arkansas has already shown it can make life uncomfortable for opponents, and the Tigers need this to look sharper on offense than they did in their last outing. There is also a betting angle attached to the game, but for Missouri the bigger issue is more basic: whether the bye week gave its passing attack enough time to find some rhythm before the conference schedule tightens again. [Read more 🡒]
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