Vikings' 5-0 Start Just Reopened A Huge Quarterback Debate

Despite buzz surrounding a potential Justin Herbert trade, the Vikings might shy away due to past pitfalls and a strategic preference for lower-cost quarterback options.

The Minnesota Vikings keep stacking wins, but the quarterback conversation isn’t going anywhere.

At 5-0, Minnesota is eyeing 6-0 for the first time since 2019 when it faces the Indianapolis Colts in Week 7. That hot start has plenty of people excited about this team, but it has also stirred up the same old question hanging over the roster: who is the quarterback of the future?

Right now, that answer is nowhere clear. No quarterback on the roster is signed beyond this season, which is why speculation has started to circle around Los Angeles Chargers star Justin Herbert.

If Herbert ever became available, the Vikings would be an obvious match on paper. But The Ringer’s Tom Pelissero said on " The Bill Simmons Podcast" that Minnesota might think twice before paying the kind of price a player like Herbert would demand.

Pelissero said the Vikings ultimately want to “solidify the quarterback position,” which helps explain why they drafted J.J. McCarthy. Even so, Minnesota has also shown it can win with cheaper options like Kyler Murray and Sam Darnold, giving the front office room to build out the roster and lean on Brian Flores' defense.

That setup runs against the usual NFL script. Teams draft a quarterback, win big while he’s cheap, and then eventually face the massive bill that comes with a $60 million-a-year extension. Pelissero pointed out that Minnesota’s route may not be glamorous, but it has value.

While Kevin O’Connell may want to get off the quarterback carousel, Pelissero said, “But it’s not a bad formula for the way that they are structured, because it gives them those other opportunities.”

The fit with Herbert is easy to understand. Kyler Murray has helped the Vikings get to 5-0, but he didn’t really look comfortable until the fourth quarter of the Week 4 win over the Miami Dolphins and the Week 5 win over the New Orleans Saints. Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer also don’t project as long-term answers, so Minnesota could be hunting again this offseason.

That search may not lead smoothly into the 2027 quarterback class either. The pool was supposed to be strong, but top names such as Oregon’s Dante Moore or Notre Dame’s C.J.

Carr may not be there if the Vikings stay in the playoff mix in the second half of the season. Others, including Texas’s Arch Manning and Oklahoma State’s Drew Mestemaker, could return to school and shrink the class even more.

If the Vikings have already lost patience with McCarthy, they may not want to go through another draft-and-develop cycle at quarterback. In that case, Herbert becomes the cleaner shortcut.

The numbers on Herbert tell two very different stories. This season has been rough: a career-low 59.4% completion rate, 937 yards, five touchdowns, and an NFL-high seven interceptions heading into Sunday.

He was also shaky in a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, going 22-of-37 for 204 yards with an interception. But over seven NFL seasons, Herbert has built a much more impressive track record, completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 25,757 yards, 168 touchdowns, and 65 interceptions.

There’s also the contract reality. Herbert won’t turn 29 until next March, and his deal runs through after the 2029 season.

The Vikings could even extend him and lower his current scheduled cap hit of $58.3 million, according to Over The Cap. On paper, that would give them a long-term answer and more control over the financial hit.

Still, Pelissero’s bigger point was about Minnesota’s own history, and that may be why the idea of Herbert isn’t as straightforward as it looks.

When the Vikings paid Kirk Cousins to be the answer, the roster got squeezed. Minnesota had to fill out the team with draft picks and bargain free agents, and the result was one playoff win and just two playoff appearances in Cousins’ six seasons there.

After Cousins left, the Vikings moved on to Darnold on a one-year, $10 million deal for the 2024 season. With Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson in the passing game and O’Connell coaching, Darnold helped the Vikings win 14 games before leaving in free agency.

Then came the long-term bet on McCarthy. It didn’t work, and the Vikings traded him to the New York Giants. But that miss only cost them one season, at least so far, because Murray and Wentz have still pushed the team to a 5-0 start this year.

So yes, Herbert would be the splashiest answer if he became available. He would also come with the cost of draft capital and the cap space needed to fit his contract, which could mean parting with some of the players who have helped Minnesota get so much out of its quarterbacks.

Maybe O’Connell would prefer to stop revisiting the same quarterback lesson every year. Maybe Nolan Teasley, who famously restocked the Seattle Seahawks cabinet by trading Russell Wilson as an assistant general manager under John Schneider, would see a bigger swing as the right move for a team that is close.

But the Vikings’ defense is still elite, and the roster around the quarterback remains good enough to lift most options that might be there next offseason. The less flashy route would mean keeping the picks and cap room, and it might actually give Minnesota the better shot at sustained success.

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