Twins May Have An Outfield Problem Hiding A Useful Bat

Despite a crowded outfield and the rise of top prospect Walker Jenkins, Alan Roden's underlying statistics make a compelling case for his return to the Minnesota Twins' major league lineup.

The Twins made a clean, understandable move before Friday night’s game against the Chicago White Sox, optioning Alan Roden to clear space for No. 1 prospect Walker Jenkins. Jenkins has been tearing through August at Triple-A St.

Paul, hitting .411/.488/.795 with a 222 wRC+ and eight home runs, so Minnesota had a straightforward call to make. Roden’s surface line with the club after his July 7 recall - .254/.333/.313 - made the decision even easier on paper.

But the numbers underneath tell a different story, and they suggest Roden may have done more than the box score showed. In his brief time with Minnesota this season, he posted a .294 wOBA against a .342 expected wOBA.

He also turned in a 40.7% hard-hit rate, a .279 expected batting average and a 30.9% squared-up rate. Even with the modest results, he kept the strikeouts down at 13.9% and drew walks at an 11.4% clip.

Defensively, most of Roden’s work came in right field, where he logged -3 Defensive Runs Saved over 166 innings. He also spent 16 innings in left field. Last season, though, he showed better numbers on the other side of the outfield, finishing with +3 DRS in 279 2/3 innings in left.

The bigger problem for Roden is opportunity. At 26, he looks capable of becoming a steady everyday left fielder, but Minnesota simply does not have an open lane for him right now.

Even with Buxton on the IL, the outfield is crowded with Walker Jenkins, Luke Keaschall and Trevor Larnach. Gabriel Gonzalez, who was called up as the corresponding move when Buxton went on the IL, is likely to start over Larnach against left-handers.

Austin Martin has handled that role most of the season, but he is on the IL. Josh Bell has the designated hitter spot locked up.

Roden could still come back when rosters expand from 26 to 28 men in September. If the Twins are still fighting for a postseason spot, though, it is tough to see him getting steady at-bats. If Minnesota drops out of the race in the next few weeks - which is very possible - the club may be more willing to give him regular major-league run.

Even looking ahead to next year, the path does not get much clearer. The 2027 Twins outfield is expected to include Buxton, Jenkins and Keaschall.

Larnach is set to reach free agency after next season, and the Twins already showed a willingness to move him when they offered him to the Houston Astros for Brayan Abreu before the Aug. 3 deadline. That said, there are still more young outfielders in the pipeline, with Emmanuel Rodriguez, Gabriel Gonzalez and Hendry Mendez all pushing for consistent major-league time.

With that kind of depth, Minnesota may end up using Roden as a trade piece for pitching help in the offseason.

In Other News...

Twins No 9 Prospect Is Giving This Climb Real Momentum

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Diaw has kept his on-base work strong while trimming down the strikeouts against better pitching, even if the power has backed up some along the way. What has stood out just as much to the staff is the broader package: the work ethic, the feel for the game, and the ability to handle center field and catcher. Add in a career-high in stolen bases, and theres a lot of momentum behind a player who still has another level to prove. [Read more 🡒]

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Minnesota has liked what it has seen since then. Keaschall has reached base safely in each of his seven games atop the order, giving the lineup a steadier start and a better chance to build innings around him. The bigger question now is whether this is a short-term spark or the beginning of a longer answer for a position the Twins have been trying to settle. [Read more 🡒]

Walker Jenkins Is Already Forcing A New Twins Debate

Walker Jenkins arrival has already given the Twins something to chew on beyond the usual rookie buzz. Called up recently, the young outfielder has stood out immediately for his imposing frame and a batting stance that looks different enough to draw attention the first time he steps in, the kind of look that gets scouts, coaches and fans debating what it might mean before the sample size is anywhere near large enough.

Early tracking from his first few games points to a swing with a steep tilt, a pull-oriented attack direction and bat speed that appears above average. The shape has prompted comparisons to Cody Bellinger, and Jenkins spread-out stance seems built for stability and power, but it is still early enough that the Twins are left trying to separate real indicators from first-impression noise while the bigger question hangs in the air. [Read more 🡒]