Last week, the Twins Daily Awards spotlighted the best of the 2026 Twins: MVP, best pitcher, rookie of the year and most improved. But a team that finished below .500 leaves room for the other end of the spectrum too, and this is where the conversation gets a lot less cheerful.
If you’re trying to pin down the least valuable player on the 2026 Twins, there are a few different ways to attack it. Raw ugliness alone doesn’t quite do the job, because some of the worst stat lines came from players who barely played at all.
Justin Lawrence put up an 18.00 ERA in 6 innings. Luis Garcia had a 10.38 ERA in 8 ⅔.
Kyler Fedko went 0-for-16 with 8 strikeouts. All of that was bad, but none of it came with enough volume to truly shape the season.
The real case belongs to the players who had a real role and still dragged the roster down. One of the strongest candidates is Victor Caratini, whose season was saved only by a strangely hot June.
Even with that month, when he posted a 1.059 OPS, he still ended up at a 77 OPS+ and minus-1.35 Win Probability Added, the worst mark among Twins position players. He was among the slowest players in the league, and when he reached base he didn’t do much to help the running game.
Defensively, he struggled badly with the steal game, allowing 64 steals on 77 attempts. The Twins signed him to a two-year deal with the idea that he could eventually replace Ryan Jeffers as the starting catcher in 2027, but after a season like this, that plan has to look shaky with Caratini now 33.
Justin Topa also deserves a mention, even if his sample was small. He lasted just 19 innings before being released in late May, but he managed to leave a mark in 23 appearances: an 8.05 ERA, 6.47 FIP, 2.00 WHIP and a 12-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Minnesota counted on him for a meaningful role in a bullpen that was pieced together on Opening Day, and he was solid for about a month before everything fell apart. In a lot of ways, he looked like the early version of what was wrong with that relief group before it was overhauled.
James Outman falls more into the “opportunity cost” bucket than the true LVP race. The Twins gave him 70 plate appearances, and he hit .156 with 29 strikeouts.
His glove in the outfield wasn’t good enough to cover for the bat, and that made the whole experiment feel wasteful. He didn’t exactly surprise anyone, either.
He was bad before Minnesota got him last year, bad after the trade, and bad again in his next chance this season. The Twins cut him in June, and he still picked up another 100 plate appearances in Detroit, where he was bad there too.
Tristan Gray is another serious contender, mostly because the Twins committed so much playing time to him. He got 52 starts, almost all of them at shortstop, before being sent to Triple-A around the All-Star break.
He gave Minnesota very little on either side of the ball and helped turn shortstop into a major problem in the first half. The one thing working in his favor is that he hit .300 with runners in scoring position and delivered a few clutch hits, finishing with 29 RBIs in 188 plate appearances.
That might be just enough to keep him from the very bottom.
Matt Wallner, though, put together a season with almost nothing to offset the damage. He hit just .167/.259/.292, and the defense in right field was rough enough to drag his value even lower.
He finished at negative-0.8 fWAR and negative-1.4 bWAR, both worse than Gray among Twins position players, and his negative-1.4 bWAR stood out alongside the second-worst WPA on the team, behind only Caratini. The Twins optioned him to Triple-A in mid-May, and he never came back up despite hitting well for the Saints.
For a hitter who was one of Minnesota’s best in 2023-24, it was a steep drop.
Simeon Woods Richardson might have the clearest statistical case of anyone. In 12 appearances, including 10 starts, he posted a 7.74 ERA and 6.16 FIP while allowing 65 hits and 25 walks against only 26 strikeouts in 47 ⅔ innings.
The Twins went 1-9 in his starts. His minus-2.24 WPA was the worst on the team and the worst in all of baseball.
That performance was bad enough that Minnesota released him in early June, which made for a stunning outcome for a 25-year-old starter who had recently shown MLB success.
Royce Lewis is the tricky one. His season wasn’t awful in the same way some of the others were.
FanGraphs and Baseball Reference both had him a little above replacement level. He stayed healthy, hit some homers, drove in some runs and played a lot.
But that’s also where the problem starts. He had by far the most playing time of anyone on this list, and when he was in the lineup, he usually wasn’t giving the Twins much.
His 86 OPS+ beats Caratini’s 77, but Lewis did it in 130 more plate appearances, and that line came from an offense-first spot, especially after his move to first base.
So where does the title go? Wallner and Woods Richardson make the strongest statistical cases, Caratini has a real argument, and Lewis may actually be the most interesting answer of all.
The reason this matters now is that Lewis and Caratini are still penciled into the 2027 picture. That raises the offseason question in plain terms: are the Twins willing to trust two players who helped drive this disappointing season to reverse course, or will they look for upgrades at catcher and first base?
Catcher is the easier place to change direction, since Lewis is arbitration-eligible and Caratini is tied to $7 million with a $3.5 million buyout for his 2028 option.
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