Joe Ryan’s first start back from the injured list didn’t need to be a masterpiece to matter. It just needed to look right.
And on Monday, against that standard, it did.
Ryan returned after missing time with a glute strain, and while the box score was ordinary enough - four innings, three hits, three runs allowed, two earned runs, one walk and seven strikeouts - the underlying story was much more interesting. The Twins weren’t just checking whether he could get through a start. They were checking whether the version of Joe Ryan they’d been missing was back with him.
That question had become fair to ask before he landed on the IL. After the All-Star break, Ryan made three starts, and none of them went well.
He gave up six home runs against Cleveland, then was beaten in back-to-back outings by former Twin Randy Dobnak. But the issue went beyond results.
His four-seam fastball, the pitch everything else is built around, had started to lose some of its usual bite. Its induced vertical break dipped, hitters were squaring it up more often, and his arm angle trended downward.
Something was off. A skipped start didn’t fix the problem, and the arm fatigue that was initially reported eventually gave way to a glute strain.
Monday’s outing suggested the wait may have been worth it.
The biggest sign was the fastball. Before the IL stint, Ryan’s four-seamer had lost the movement that makes it so effective.
On his return, the induced vertical break was back up to 14 inches, right around the level he’s carried for most of his career. For Ryan, that matters.
He doesn’t overpower hitters with pure velocity. His fastball plays because of its shape, his extension and the deception in the delivery.
When it’s working, hitters get underneath it, pop it up or miss it entirely. Before the injury, that wasn’t happening enough.
On Monday, the pitch had its familiar look again.
The movement gains didn’t stop there. Ryan was getting more horizontal movement on his pitches, too.
His four-seamer and sweeper, the two offerings he leaned on most in the start, each picked up roughly two extra inches of horizontal break compared with their season averages. Even better for Minnesota, the rest of his mix showed similar improvement in vertical movement.
The whole arsenal looked healthier.
His velocity was up as well, which only added to the positive signs. That matters because pitching is a full-body motion, and even a lower-body issue can affect release point, delivery and the way the ball comes out of a pitcher’s hand.
There was never a guarantee the glute strain was the reason for the dip in movement, but the timing made it hard to dismiss. After time away, Ryan’s stuff was moving better and his body looked more like itself.
He also kept hard contact to a minimum. Kevin McGonigle’s solo homer in the bottom of the first inning was the only hard-hit ball Ryan allowed all afternoon. After that, hitters had a tough time doing anything meaningful against him.
The swing-and-miss numbers were strong, too. Ryan produced 12 whiffs on only 66 pitches, an eye-catching rate no matter how you slice it.
One wrinkle stood out: none of those swings and misses came on the four-seam fastball. That doesn’t make the pitch a problem.
If anything, it may be the opposite. With the fastball’s shape back in place, it can serve as the engine for the rest of his arsenal, even if the whiffs were coming elsewhere on this particular day.
The Twins were never going to push him back into a full workload in his first outing off the IL, and Ryan was lifted after just 66 pitches. That was part of the plan.
The bigger task was getting him back on the mound and seeing whether the stuff had returned with him. By that measure, the outing was a clear success.
One start doesn’t wipe away the three rough ones that came before the injured list, and the larger concern now is making sure he’s at 100% for 2027. But Monday felt like a real step forward. Ryan looked much more like the pitcher Minnesota had during the first half of the season: fastball back to its usual vertical break, more movement across the board, velocity up, and only one hard-hit ball against him.
It wasn’t the finish line. It was the first meaningful checkpoint. And it was a good one.
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Rodriguez has come back from injury and shown the kind of offensive production that can force a closer look, while Morissette has taken a notable step forward at the plate since entering the organization. Rozek keeps giving the club useful pitching depth, which only adds to the calculus as the Twins sort through what kind of support the major league roster might need in the weeks ahead. [Read more 🡒]
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For a club still weighing its playoff chances, that kind of decision makes sense. Prielipp has shown enough to stay on the mound, but the Twins appear to be prioritizing workload and flexibility over sticking rigidly to a traditional starters path. Moving him into a bulk relief role gives Minnesota another way to deploy a young arm without pushing him too hard, and it suggests the front office and coaching staff are looking at the bigger picture as much as the next game. [Read more 🡒]
Twins Face A Tough Ryan Jeffers Decision After His Breakout Season
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The tricky part is what comes next, because Jeffers is nearing free agency and the Twins have to decide whether to extend a qualifying offer. That path could at least give Minnesota draft compensation if he ends up signing elsewhere, but it also comes with the possibility of putting the team in a hard spot with one of its most productive everyday players. Jeffers is expected to look for a long-term deal on the open market, which means the Twins may soon have to choose between trying to keep one of their best all-around hitters or preparing for life without him. [Read more 🡒]