Minnesotas 2026 Passing Game Hinges On One Huge Leap

Join experts Dan Owen and Ryan Burns as they dive into the Gophers' 2026 season predictions, navigating a lively debate over the team's potential yardage stats.

The next set of Gophers over/under lines turns the focus to the passing game, and the first number on the board is a familiar one: 2,828 yards for Drake Lindsey, the exact total Max Brosmer posted in his lone season in maroon and gold.

Dan Owen is taking the over. He’s been encouraged by what he’s seen from Lindsey in fall camp and is willing to buy into the NFL draft buzz that’s begun to follow him, though he made clear he’s thinking more toward the 2028 NFL draft than anything immediate. He even considered pushing the line to 3,000 yards, but settled on matching Brosmer’s 2024 production because it gives a cleaner comparison point.

Still, Owen pointed to one possible obstacle that has nothing to do with Lindsey’s talent: the receiver room. In his view, the group may still be a year away from fully coming together, and without a clear go-to target, Lindsey’s numbers could get capped against the tougher defenses on the Big Ten schedule.

Ryan Burns went the other direction and chose the under. He liked the enthusiasm, but said there are two reasons he isn’t buying that total.

The first is simple history: only one Gopher quarterback has ever thrown for more than 2,900 yards, and that was Tanner Morgan in 2019. The second is Burns’ belief that the run game will do enough damage to keep the passing totals down, especially if Minnesota can be even average on the ground.

The conversation then shifted to Noah Jennings and a line of 454 receiving yards, which would tie Javon Tracy’s mark from last season for the most by a transfer receiver in his first year at Minnesota.

Owen came down on the under there as well. He credited Jennings for earning real praise through spring and fall and said he expects him to be a solid contributor right away. Even so, Owen isn’t convinced Jennings will clear the debut standard Tracy set a year ago.

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