Purdue’s decision on Sunday made the contrast impossible to ignore.
Barry Odom moved on from defensive coordinator Kevin Kane less than 24 hours after a 34-29 home loss to Maryland, a game in which the Terrapins, playing under an interim head coach, rolled up 390 total yards against Purdue. The Boilermakers’ defensive numbers tell the same story: 99th nationally against the run, 116th against the pass, and 124th in scoring defense.
That matters here because Kane spent last season on Minnesota’s staff as a defensive assistant. And when Purdue faced the Gophers earlier this season in West Lafayette, Minnesota turned in the kind of performance that made Kane look a lot more useful.
No opponent has gained fewer total yards against Purdue this season than Minnesota’s 275. No opponent has been held to fewer rushing yards than Minnesota’s 27.
No opponent has scored fewer points than Minnesota’s 13. That includes Indiana State, Purdue’s season-opening FCS opponent.
The uncomfortable part for Minnesota is that this hasn’t been a one-off. It’s been the pattern.
Greg Harbaugh’s offense has spent the season near the bottom of the national rankings, sitting 133rd in rushing offense, 93rd in passing offense, and 93rd in scoring offense. The Gophers are averaging 24.7 points per game overall, but that number falls to 17.4 against Power 4 opponents. The one bright spot is time of possession, where Minnesota ranks 27th nationally.
So they’ve got that going for them, which is nice.
Still, if Kane’s production wasn’t enough to keep Odom from making a change, why has Harbaugh’s output been acceptable to P.J. Fleck?
Odom needed nine games to make his call. Fleck has had 48 games to evaluate Harbaugh.
Harbaugh’s strongest rushing season came in 2023, his first year as offensive coordinator, when Minnesota ranked 65th nationally and averaged 157.5 rushing yards per game. That number has dropped every year since.
His best passing season came in 2024 with New Hampshire transfer quarterback Max Brosmer, when the Gophers ranked 76th in passing yards and averaged 222.2 per game. Minnesota’s 26.2 points per game that season was also Harbaugh’s best scoring mark, good for 80th nationally.
This year, three Big Ten teams have already fired their offensive coordinator. Two of them, Oregon and Nebraska, are still well ahead of Minnesota in both total offense and scoring offense.
Maybe the standards are different there. Oregon is chasing national championship contention, and Nebraska wants to be in that conversation. But Minnesota’s offense over the last four seasons, on paper, would look sub-standard anywhere.
That brings the question back to Fleck.
Maybe he thinks the Gophers simply don’t have enough talent on offense. Maybe he believes the program’s assistant salary pool makes it hard to find and keep a better coordinator. Maybe he thinks field goals are enough to win big.
Or maybe he doesn’t see Harbaugh as the main problem.
That’s possible. But the harder conversation isn’t between Fleck and Harbaugh. In my view, that one should be pretty straightforward after four seasons of evidence.
The real conversation is Fleck with himself.
A decade into his Minnesota tenure, the Gophers have finished in the Top 25 in scoring offense only once, during the 2019 season when they averaged 34.1 points per game. In every other year under Fleck, Minnesota has ranked 64th or worse in total offense and 64th or worse in scoring offense. Three offensive coordinators later, the common thread is still the head coach.
Anemic offense has been part of the package. The question is whether that’s by design.
It’s hard to know exactly how Fleck defines offensive success when Harbaugh has been kept around for four seasons despite limited production on the ground, through the air, and on the scoreboard. If the only measure is wins and losses, Fleck’s 71-48 overall record at Minnesota is solid. His 42-43 conference mark is less impressive, even if it compares favorably to what came before.
It’s fair to wonder how much better those numbers might look with even a Top 60 offense.
I’d be surprised if anything changes in the next three weeks, but I don’t expect Fleck to keep Harbaugh beyond this season. Whoever comes next, Fleck has to decide whether his offensive philosophy is helping Minnesota or holding it back.
In Other News...
Gophers Get An Early Test That Should Reveal A Lot
Cincinnatis early-season momentum has been steady enough to make this weekends matchup with Minnesota feel like a useful measuring stick for both sides. The Bearcats are 2-0 after an 81-64 win over Green Bay, and coach Jerrod Calhoun said he was pleased with the way his group is progressing as it gets ready to host a Gophers team that has also opened 2-0.
Minnesota arrives with a little confidence of its own after a 76-62 win over St. Thomas, a game that offered encouraging signs from Isaac Asuma and Jaylen Crocker-Johnson. For the Gophers, this is the kind of early test that can reveal where they really stand, especially against a Cincinnati team that has already shown it can handle business at home and is looking to keep building before the schedule gets tougher. [Read more 🡒]
Minnesota Faces Its First Real Test With Plenty To Prove
Minnesotas early unbeaten start gets a much sharper edge this week, with the Gophers set to face Cincinnati in a matchup that should tell a lot more about where this team really stands. Both teams are 2-0, and this one brings the kind of challenge that can either validate an encouraging opening stretch or expose the gaps that have been easy to overlook so far.
The Gophers have looked promising enough to inspire some optimism, especially with their depth and the expectation that one of their guards will deliver a strong night. Still, the margin for error figures to be slim, and Minnesotas best path runs through cleaner possession management and a better answer for Cincinnatis work on the glass. If the Gophers can handle those parts of the game, they should give themselves a real chance to make an early statement. [Read more 🡒]
P.J. Flecks Latest UCLA Decision Sums Up A Bigger Gophers Problem
A late-game decision in the UCLA loss offered a clean snapshot of how Minnesota has been playing under P.J. Fleck. With the Gophers trailing and time slipping away, Fleck leaned conservative again, choosing field position over a more aggressive swing at the game, a move that fit the broader pattern of a staff that often seems more comfortable avoiding mistakes than forcing them.
Fleck later defended the approach, pointing to earlier long field-goal tries that came up empty, but the bigger issue is what this says about the offense as a whole. Minnesota has too often looked constrained in the moments when it needs urgency, and until that changes, the Gophers are going to keep living with the same frustrating question: whether their head coach trusts his team enough to let it play on the front foot. [Read more 🡒]