Bucks Are Still Paying For A Gamble That Looks Worse Every Month

The Bucks' gamble on Myles Turner over Damian Lillard backfires as Lillard thrives elsewhere and cap constraints hinder Milwaukee's rebuild.

The Bucks’ decision to stretch-and-waive Damian Lillard in the summer of 2025 keeps looking worse, and Myles Turner’s season is a big reason why.

Milwaukee made the move so it could create room to sign Turner, hoping he might help persuade Giannis Antetokounmpo to stay. Instead, just 16 months later, Giannis is gone and Lillard is the one who looks like the better player right now.

Lillard has found his footing again this season, averaging 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists per game. He’s not the same superstar he was before his Achilles injury, but he’s still a useful guard who could have helped guide the Bucks’ younger players and possibly carried trade value. Turner, meanwhile, is putting up a career-worst line of just 7 points and 5 rebounds per game.

That contrast makes the Bucks’ choice sting even more. If Milwaukee had kept Lillard, it would have been paying him more than $50 million this season, which would have been an overpay.

But that deal would have expired after the year. Turner’s contract, by comparison, runs for three more seasons, and he hasn’t come close to justifying it.

The stretch-and-waive move also left Lillard’s “dead money” on Milwaukee’s books through 2030, wiping out the possibility of using him as a trade chip for teams desperate for scoring. The Bucks may have gotten more value if they had been patient instead of rushing to land Turner.

Turner’s struggles in Milwaukee have only made the situation harder to swallow. In 77 games with the Bucks, he has averaged 11.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. Even the skills that were supposed to define his game have slipped since he left Indiana: he’s blocking just 1.7 shots per game and shooting 19% from three this season.

There’s no easy escape now. Turner is owed more than $25 million in each of the next three seasons, and most teams won’t want to take that on without something extra coming back. A deal could happen if a team gets desperate enough, but he won’t be a hot commodity.

Milwaukee also can’t use the stretch-and-waive route again on Turner because it is still carrying Lillard at $22.5 million per season. That means the Bucks are tied to nearly $50 million in cap space each year just to cover Turner’s contract and Lillard’s dead money.

If the move had never happened, the Bucks would have far more flexibility in the years ahead, whether that meant chasing free agents or taking on bad contracts to collect draft capital. This isn’t only about losing Giannis. It’s also about how much damage the Turner decision has done to the rebuild.

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