Dave Roberts is not treating Game 4 like a full-scale emergency, even with the Dodgers’ season hanging by a thread.
After Los Angeles dropped Game 3 of the NLCS 6-2 on Wednesday, the Dodgers manager made it clear that three pitchers are not options Thursday: Tarik Skubal, Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Justin Wrobleski.
The Dodgers, Roberts said, “still got to win four” games.
That reality shapes everything about how Los Angeles has to attack Game 4. Skubal, who started Game 1, is lined up for Game 5 on Friday if the Dodgers can keep the series alive. Yamamoto is being held back for Game 6 on Sunday in Milwaukee.
And while Roberts said Yamamoto was “off limits” entering Game 7 of the 2025 World Series one day after he threw six innings in Game 6, that kind of restriction may not be absolute. Still, the Dodgers’ bullpen looks stronger now than it did a year ago, especially in the late innings.
That leaves Tyler Glasnow as the centerpiece Thursday, and the assignment is straightforward even if the execution is anything but: stay sharp, keep his velocity and command deep into the game, and hope the Dodgers’ lineup gives him something to work with. If Glasnow can hand the ball to Edwin Diaz and Tanner Scott, Los Angeles would do more than merely survive. It would give Roberts a chance to save his top arms for a potential seven-game series.
The problem is the numbers are brutal. As MLB researcher Sarah Langs pointed out, teams that fall behind 3-0 in best-of-seven postseason series have come back to win just once in 42 tries. That includes 32 sweeps.
“Only two teams have forced a Game 7 after trailing 3-0. Only the 2004 Boston Red Sox, in the ALCS, have come all the way back to win.”
Roberts knows that history firsthand from his time in that Red Sox series, and now he has to try to steer the Dodgers through the same kind of trap. That means a cleaner pitching plan than Game 3, when his choices drew plenty of scrutiny, and a lineup that suddenly wakes up.
Glasnow also faces a workload question. He hasn’t gone past 100 pitches in a game since April 23, when he held the San Francisco Giants to one hit over eight scoreless innings in a 105-pitch outing.
Milwaukee has helped make that a tougher ask. The Brewers have shown they can grind through at-bats against Los Angeles’ high-end rotation, which helped make Blake Snell look ordinary two days after Yamamoto endured the shortest postseason start of his career.
Right now, the series momentum belongs to Milwaukee. Game 4 is the Dodgers’ next chance to take it back - and maybe their last one.
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