The NL Central is lining up to be one of the biggest forces at the MLB trade deadline, and the division’s five teams are heading into it with five very different agendas.
Milwaukee and Chicago are clearly in buy mode. St.
Louis and Pittsburgh are close enough to the race that neither club can afford to treat the next three weeks lightly. Cincinnati, meanwhile, looks positioned to sell.
Put all of that together, and the division could end up shaping the market in a major way.
Milwaukee sits in the strongest position of the group, with the best record in the division and a real shot at earning a first-round bye. The Brewers’ clearest need is another high-leverage reliever, and while they typically do not chase the biggest name on the board, this is the kind of roster that can justify a meaningful move. They also have prospect capital for days.
Chicago’s situation is a little different. The Cubs are five games back and in a solid Wild Card spot, so the question is not whether they buy.
It is how aggressive they decide to be. A cautious deadline built around depth may not be enough if the Cubs believe they can still catch Milwaukee.
Then there is the messy middle of the division. The Cardinals are above .500 and close enough to the Wild Card race to make buying a realistic path, but they also have players other teams would want if things go the other way.
Pittsburgh has pushed over .500 as well, which has made the idea of selling much more complicated than it looked a month ago. The Pirates could add, stand pat, or move veterans while still saying they are protecting the future.
Cincinnati is the clearest case. The Reds have dropped to the bottom of the division and should have several players available, giving the rest of the NL Central a chance to shop while one club helps stock the market.
That is what makes this division so unusual right now. It will not be the source of every blockbuster - the Dodgers, Yankees, and Mets will still dominate those headlines - but no other division has as many teams facing such different deadline decisions.
The NL Central will not just take part in the market. It could set the pace for it.
In Other News...
Brewers Just Got Another Big Reminder They Nailed The Andrew Vaughn Trade
More than a year after Milwaukee sent Aaron Civale to the White Sox for Andrew Vaughn, the trade keeps looking better for the Brewers. Vaughn has settled in at first base and given the lineup the kind of steady production the club was hoping for, with his offensive work showing both consistency and real value in the middle of the order.
Civale, meanwhile, has kept trending the other way, which only sharpens the contrast in what was once a straightforward swap. Milwaukee does not need a reminder that Vaughn has been the more dependable piece, but the latest turn in Civales career makes the return look even stronger and leaves the Brewers with another example of a deal that has aged well in their favor. [Read more 🡒]
Brewers Just Got A Costly New Reality On Jacob Misiorowski
Chase Burns new deal in Cincinnati has quietly changed the conversation for Milwaukee, because it gives the Brewers a fresh measuring stick if they want to lock up Jacob Misiorowski. The right-hander has been one of the most electric arms in the game this season, and his emergence has only sharpened the question of how aggressive the Brewers will need to be to keep him in place long term.
Misiorowskis rise has put him in a different class of extension candidate, and the timing matters because the market for young pitchers keeps moving. Milwaukee has not yet gotten into extension talks with him, but the Burns contract makes clear that any serious effort to buy out Misiorowskis future is going to come with a hefty price tag and a lot more urgency than it might have just a few weeks ago. [Read more 🡒]
Aaron Civale's Exit From Milwaukee Keeps Looking Worse
Aaron Civales path since asking out of Milwaukee last June has only gotten bumpier. The right-hander was designated for assignment by the Athletics after 16 appearances and a 5.82 ERA, another rough stop for a pitcher who once looked like a useful rotation piece and has instead spent the last year bouncing from one roster crunch to the next.
The latest move also brings back an uncomfortable pattern for the Brewers to watch from afar. Civale was DFAd by the White Sox last summer after the trade out of Milwaukee, and this is the third time in a little over a year that he has landed in DFA limbo, a striking turn for a veteran who has already worn six big league uniforms in eight seasons. [Read more 🡒]
