The Brewers are one win away from turning last year’s NLCS sweep on the Dodgers into a very different story, but Game 3 made one thing clear: this series still has life.
Milwaukee’s 6-2 win Wednesday night at Dodger Stadium came in a way you don’t usually associate with the Brewers. They didn’t just scrape together enough offense. They beat Los Angeles with the long ball, and they did it against a Dodgers team built to make that kind of night feel like its own territory.
Jackson Chourio jumped on the first pitch of the game for a leadoff home run, a clean early punch from a club that spent most of the regular season living in a different lane than the power-heavy teams around it. Then, after Blake Snell settled in and kept Milwaukee quiet for most of the night, Jake Bauers and Garrett Mitchell went back-to-back in the seventh to push the Brewers ahead for good. It was a rare three-homer game for Milwaukee, and all three blasts came against Snell, who had not given up a homer in 46 1/3 innings this season, including the postseason.
That kind of night fits the larger story of what the Brewers have become. They won 103 games, so this isn’t some fluky burst. It’s a club that can beat you in multiple ways, and Game 3 was a sharp departure from the way this matchup played out in last year’s NLCS.
For the Dodgers, the path forward starts with Tyler Glasnow, who gets Game 4 with the season hanging there. He wasn’t especially crisp in his only start this postseason, when he walked five over 4 2/3 innings of one-run ball in Game 4 of the NLDS against the Braves. Now he’s being asked to help save the year.
Glasnow has been in this spot before during his Rays days, and the results have been all over the map. He took the loss in Game 5 of the 2019 ALDS against the Astros after going 2 2/3 innings.
He was solid in Game 5 of the 2020 ALDS against the Yankees, though Tampa Bay pulled him quickly after 2 1/3 scoreless innings. His best showing in one of these moments came against Cleveland in Game 2 of the 2022 Wild Card Series, when he tossed five scoreless innings in a game the Rays eventually lost 1-0 in 15 innings.
“I think he's going to pitch well,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said. “He's fresh.
He's got a lot of arm talent. He's got experience, certainly, in the postseason.”
But pitching alone won’t be enough. The Dodgers’ bats have to wake up.
Through the first two postseasons before this one, Los Angeles averaged 5.1 runs per game. This October, it’s down to 3.0.
Shohei Ohtani has a .515 OPS in the postseason, Freddie Freeman sits at .664, and Mookie Betts is at .586. Teoscar Hernández has been quiet after homering in the opener against the Braves.
Will Smith delivered a big two-out double on Wednesday night, but he’s still 2-for-27 (.074) in October.
Oddly enough, the only regular starter producing well in the playoffs has been Kyle Tucker, who struggled all season. He’s hitting .304 with an .885 OPS this postseason.
That’s why the message for the Dodgers is simple: it’s now or never for the stars.
Milwaukee’s bullpen, meanwhile, has been carrying a massive load, and Game 3 finally brought a crack. Abner Uribe was pitching for the seventh time in seven postseason games and had his roughest moment yet, recording only one out while walking the bases loaded before Smith’s go-ahead two-run double in the sixth.
“Abner not throwing strikes is unusual, but he's been good seven straight playoff games,” Brewers manager Pat Murphy said. “ ...
We believe in him. He didn't have his control tonight.”
Trevor Megill kept doing what he’s done all October. The closer pitched for the fifth time this postseason, worked more than one inning for the second time, and handled all four batters he faced, including two strikeouts.
That relief group is almost certain to be leaned on again in Game 4, with the Brewers’ starter still to be determined. And if this series keeps going, Milwaukee’s bullpen will remain central behind expected Game 5 starter Jacob Misiorowski.
So the Brewers aren’t just trying to finish the Dodgers quickly. They’re trying to do it soon enough to buy their arms some breathing room before a possible World Series.
As for Los Angeles, Roberts doesn’t need a lecture on what a comeback looks like. He played a major part in the Red Sox’s 2004 rally against the Yankees, the only other 3-0 comeback in postseason history.
With Boston one loss from elimination in Game 4, Roberts stole a key base as a pinch-runner against Mariano Rivera, then scored the tying run on Bill Mueller’s single up the middle. Boston won that game in 12 innings and took the series in seven.
Now he’s trying to help the Dodgers pull off something just as rare.
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