Texas A&M, Oregon and Michigan entered 2026 with some of the biggest roster budgets in college football. Halfway through the season, they also have something else in common: two losses apiece, and plenty of pressure to show for the money spent.
The Athletic’s September estimates put Oregon at between $48 million and $54 million for roster building, second in the sport only to Ohio State. Texas A&M checked in fifth at $45 million to $50 million, while Michigan landed at $36 million to $40 million. Combined, those three programs are 9-7.
That kind of spending has become part of the sport’s new reality. Sports Illustrated’s summer survey of coaches and athletic directors found costs rising across every major conference, and The Athletic’s September projections tied the top end of roster spending to playoff-level success. Power conference teams with at least a 50% chance of making the College Football Playoff averaged $41 million to $46 million in roster spending.
Texas A&M was supposed to be built for a strong follow-up to last season’s 11-2 Playoff run. Mike Elko earned a six-year extension worth more than $11 million per year, and the Aggies opened 2026 ranked No. 8 in the AP Top 25. Six games in, they’re 3-3 and 1-3 in SEC play.
The losses have not been close. All three came by double digits, including Saturday’s 27-6 defeat at Missouri.
Texas A&M finished with 216 total yards, converted just five of 18 third downs and got little traction from quarterback Marcel Reed or new play-caller Holmon Wiggins, who took over for Collin Klein this offseason. ESPN’s efficiency ratings now slot the Aggies’ offense 92nd nationally.
“So we’re in a really bad spot right now, but we’ll work our way out of it,” Elko said after the loss.
The road to bowl eligibility is suddenly narrow. Texas A&M needs three wins over its final six games, with Alabama coming on Oct. 24 and Texas still on the schedule. Elko already appeared on our latest college football hot seat index after Week 6.
Oregon’s slide has been just as jarring in a different way. Dan Lanning has one of the sport’s richest roster budgets and returning starter Dante Moore at quarterback, yet the Ducks have already lost twice after beginning the year No. 2 in the AP poll.
The first stumble came in a 39-31 loss at Oklahoma State on Sept. 12, a team The Athletic estimated spent between $15 million and $19 million on its roster. After that game, Lanning was blunt: “We did not perform at any level that was winning football,” Lanning said afterward.
Saturday brought another setback, this one a 17-15 home loss to unbeaten UCLA. Moore sat out with a concussion, and the depth behind him was tested hard. Nebraska transfer Dylan Raiola went 6 of 19 for 43 yards with two interceptions before Lanning turned to third-stringer Brock Thomas in the fourth quarter.
Oregon’s mistakes piled up from there. The Ducks had seven turnovers and managed just one conversion in 11 third-down tries.
Defensive tackle Bear Alexander’s hit on UCLA quarterback Nico Iamaleava could also bring Big Ten discipline. ESPN now gives Oregon a 9.8% chance to reach the Playoff, with 5-1 Nebraska visiting Autzen Stadium on Saturday.
Michigan’s situation is different, but the budget numbers are in the same neighborhood. The Wolverines and Indiana both carry estimated roster budgets of $36 million to $40 million, though the defending national champion Hoosiers are 6-0 and one of the nine unbeaten teams left in the sport while Michigan is 3-2 and still looking for its first Big Ten win under first-year coach Kyle Whittingham.
Whittingham’s first year has been a grind. Michigan opened with a 13-12 win over Western Michigan on a disputed Hail Mary, then lost 20-19 at home to Iowa on the final play and 20-14 at Minnesota, which marked Michigan’s first loss in Minneapolis since 1977. The Wolverines produced only 180 yards against the Golden Gophers and have failed to reach 20 points in four of five games.
“I’ve been in this profession 40-some years, and this is the biggest challenge I’ve had,” Whittingham said. He also said, “We might have to make some tough decisions here,” raising questions about sophomore quarterback Bryce Underwood during the bye week. Michigan hosts Penn State on Saturday.
Penn State has its own expensive rebuild and its own struggles. Matt Campbell was hired from Iowa State, and the roster includes 24 former Cyclones, including quarterback Rocco Becht. The Nittany Lions beat Marshall, Temple and Buffalo before dropping games to Wisconsin, Northwestern and USC.
Northwestern ran for 413 yards in a 34-13 win on Oct. 2, and Penn State’s 31-23 loss to USC came before a Beaver Stadium-record crowd of 114,419.
Penn State travels to Michigan at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday, with both teams still chasing their first Big Ten win.
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The latest response was a change at punt returner, a move triggered by recent miscues and one the staff could no longer put off. Michigan has lost the turnover margin in four of its past five weeks, and the pattern has lined up too neatly with the losses for anyone around the program to dismiss it as bad luck. [Read more 🡒]
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Michigans UCLA Test Suddenly Feels Very Different For One Reason
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For Michigan, the matchup now looks different in a hurry. What had been shaping up as a test against an unbeaten team suddenly comes with a layer of uncertainty, because the Bruins are trying to replace a key piece on the fly while still protecting their perfect record. The Wolverines still have their own goals to chase, but the quarterback situation alone gives this meeting a very different feel than it had just days ago. [Read more 🡒]