Michigan Still Has One Chance To Make Any Playoff Talk Matter

With Michigan teetering on the edge of playoff contention, every game becomes a must-win in their uphill battle to secure a spot in the College Football Playoff.

Michigan’s College Football Playoff hopes aren’t dead yet, at least not in the minds of the players.

Jyaire Hill said Tuesday that the Wolverines still might have a shot if they can finish the season the right way. The message from the cornerback was simple: win out, and then see where things stand.

That’s the hard part. Michigan is 2-3 in the Big Ten, with its only conference wins coming against Penn State and Rutgers, two teams that have combined for just two Big Ten victories.

The win over Oklahoma doesn’t carry much weight either, and the missed chances against Iowa and Indiana loom large. Those were the kinds of games that could have changed the conversation.

Instead, Michigan is operating with no cushion at all, and even Ohio State’s loss didn’t really move the needle for the Wolverines.

The first College Football Playoff rankings came out Tuesday night, and the setup doesn’t exactly hand Michigan an easy argument. Ohio State checked in at No.

12, Oregon landed at No. 23, and those two teams are set to meet this week, meaning one of them will fall. UCLA is ranked No.

  1. Michigan still has games left against those teams in its final three, after Michigan State.

That’s where the path gets interesting, at least on paper. If Ohio State had been sitting in the top five and UCLA was also higher, Michigan could have made a stronger case by beating both.

A road win over Oregon would also carry real weight. But the rankings didn’t break in a way that gives the Wolverines much breathing room.

Before any playoff talk gets serious, Michigan has to show it can actually close games. The Wolverines had opportunities against Minnesota, Iowa and Indiana, and each time the fourth quarter slipped away from them. Michigan is the only Power-4 team that hasn’t trailed by double digits this season and isn’t ranked in the top 25.

So yes, the door is still cracked open. But it feels narrow.

There’s also the more immediate reality: Michigan still has to take care of Michigan State first. The Spartans are winless in the Big Ten, and if the Wolverines win on Saturday, that’s the result they should get.

The bigger issue is whether Michigan can clean up enough to make the final three games matter. The ground game against Rutgers wasn’t up to snuff, even though Tommy Carr was stellar. And while a win over Ohio State would obviously change the conversation, Michigan may need more than that to make anyone believe the playoff is truly in reach.

Win the last three, and then the discussion gets real. Until then, the Wolverines are still chasing proof as much as they’re chasing rankings.

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