Michigan State May Have Another Freshman Guard Ready Sooner Than Expected

Deck: Once an underestimated recruit, Carlos Medlock Jr. is rapidly proving his worth at Michigan State, dazzling fans and analysts alike with standout performances.

Carlos Medlock Jr. keeps giving Michigan State fans more reasons to believe he’s ready for a real role right away.

The freshman point guard’s rise has been fast and dramatic. When Michigan State first offered him, Medlock was a three-star recruit ranked No. 178 nationally by 247Sports.

His stock was already climbing, but the surge that followed was hard to predict. Two days after the offer, he jumped 75 spots in the rankings.

A couple months later, he settled around No. 100.

Then, two months after committing to Michigan State, he made another 30-spot leap before breaking into the top 50 in January.

Now he’s headed into a backup role behind the best point guard in the country, and his Moneyball run has only sharpened the buzz around him.

Over the past month, Medlock has been aggressive, confident and tough for defenders to handle. He’s flashed big-time shot-making and has piled up production even while missing two games.

Despite that, he has the eighth-most points at Moneyball and is averaging 32.8 points per game, which leads all scorers. He also owns the most points in a game so far with 48 and leads the league in made 3-pointers per game at 4.0.

That kind of production from Michigan State’s backup point guard is exactly why the Spartans look dangerous in the backcourt.

At one point, Divine Ugochukwu’s return for the 2026-27 season made it seem like Medlock might be stuck in a smaller, third-string type of lane. Tom Izzo has always leaned on veterans and tends to trust them. But with Ugochukwu gone, the path opened up for Medlock to settle into the backup job more naturally.

Even if Ugochukwu had stayed, Medlock’s talent would have been tough to keep buried. He looks too skilled, too dynamic and too ready to be boxed into a limited role. Instead, he should be able to give Michigan State a scoring lift off the bench, and there’s even a chance he ends up in a small-ball lineup with Jeremy Fears, where he can attack more as a scorer than as a pure distributor.

He’s not going to walk in and average 15 points a night right away. But the way he’s played at Moneyball makes it easy to see the outline of a crafty offensive weapon - the kind of freshman who can change a game without needing everything run for him.

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Julius Avent, Ethan Taylor, Jasiah Jervis and Carlos Medlock Jr. all fit that pattern, each seeing his stock rise sharply after Michigan State entered the picture. Jervis even kept climbing into elite territory and added a McDonalds All-American nod along the way, while Medlocks late surge after his commitment was another reminder that Izzos evaluations can age very well. [Read more 🡒]

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