Playing at Mackey Arena is no walk in the park, and Michigan State knows this all too well. The Spartans haven't tasted victory there since 2014, but they're gearing up to change that narrative on Thursday night.
This top-15 clash is set to be a must-watch in the college basketball world, featuring the strategic showdown between Matt Painter and Tom Izzo. While Painter has had the upper hand in their recent encounters, Izzo is certainly due for a win in West Lafayette.
Despite being counted out by many, Michigan State has the talent to pull off what some might call an "upset," especially considering Purdue's three losses at Mackey this season.
There’s a crucial factor that could swing the game in Michigan State’s favor. If the Spartans can hold Purdue under 70 points, their chances of winning skyrocket to over 50 percent.
Why is this the key for Michigan State? Well, the Spartans have a track record of keeping heavyweights like Duke, Arkansas, Kentucky, North Carolina, and Nebraska under that 70-point mark.
Meanwhile, Purdue has struggled in such scenarios, going 2-3 when failing to hit 70 points this season. Even in their two wins, they scraped by with a combined nine-point margin against Oregon and USC.
On the other hand, Michigan State boasts a 17-2 record when holding opponents under 70 points, with their only losses coming against top 10 teams by a mere eight points combined. Keeping Purdue under 70 is their ticket to a potential victory.
Defense has been Michigan State’s calling card this season, and it must remain so against the No. 8 Boilermakers. An upset is within reach, but the Spartans’ defense, particularly on the perimeter, will need to shine.