With college basketball still a little less than two months from tipping off, Evan Miyakawa has already put the spotlight on the players he believes will matter most in 2026-27. His latest top 30 list for the NCAA is built differently than most preseason rankings, leaning heavily on data and analytics rather than reputation alone.
Miyakawa says his model “predicts overall player value on offense and defense, accounting for box stats, impact on team performance, career history, and recruiting pedigree coming into college.”
Miyakawa, who holds a doctorate in statistics, has had his research cited by ESPN, Sports Illustrated, CBS Sports and other outlets. His rankings have now given a first look at the players projected to stand out heading into the new season, including his top three nationally.
At No. 1 on that list is Duke’s Patrick Ngongba, who followed up a breakout sophomore year with a strong statistical profile. He averaged 10.1 points, 5.8 rebounds, two assists and 1.1 blocks per game while shooting 60.6% from the field.
Ngongba should have a chance to expand his role as a junior after the departure of Cameron Boozer and others, though the Blue Devils also added new competition for touches with Cameron Williams and others joining the roster. At 6-foot-11 and 250 pounds, Ngongba brings a combination of size and athleticism that keeps him firmly on NBA radars. He is not projected as a future star at the next level, but he does have the profile of a potential role player and could land in the lottery of the 2026 draft.
Vanderbilt guard Jason Edwards checks in next after a huge sophomore season in 2025-26. He put up 19.5 points, 5.1 assists, 3.6 rebounds and 2.4 steals per game while shooting 48.5% from the field and 36.8% from 3-point range.
Edwards tested the NBA Draft waters in 2026 before choosing to return to Vanderbilt, where he’ll try to boost his stock again as a junior. He measured 5-foot-10-and-three-quarters without shoes at the NBA Combine and posted a 6-foot-4-and-a-quarter wingspan, and that size will remain a talking point for scouts. Even so, the All-SEC honoree has a real chance to hear his name called in the first round of the 2027 NBA Draft if he puts together another strong season.
Michigan State’s Jeremy Fears Jr. rounds out Miyakawa’s top three, and his production explains why. The brother of Pelicans guard and former No. 6 pick Jeremiah Fears is one of the most productive returners in the country.
As a junior, Fears averaged 15.2 points, 9.4 assists, 2.4 rebounds and 1.3 steals per game while shooting 43.1% from the field and 32.1% from deep. Like Edwards, he faces questions about size after measuring 6-feet tall without shoes at the 2026 NBA Combine.
But if Fears delivers another big year as a senior, he should put himself in position to be part of the 2027 NBA Draft conversation.
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