LSU Just Got A Harsh CFP Reality Check With No Margin Left

LSU faces a tough road ahead as ESPN's latest College Football Playoff Bubble Watch outlines the competitive SEC landscape and upcoming critical matchups that could alter playoff prospects.

ESPN’s latest College Football Playoff Bubble Watch has LSU still stuck on the outside after Week 7, with the Tigers sitting in the “wrong side of the bubble” group as the regular season enters its final five games.

At 5-2, LSU is joined there by Alabama, Texas and Florida. ESPN’s current projection has four SEC teams in the 12-team playoff field: Georgia, Ole Miss, Kentucky and Tennessee.

The Tigers still have a clear path to bolster their case, starting with Saturday’s road trip to Auburn. After that, LSU still has games left against Alabama, Texas, Tennessee and Arkansas.

Here’s how ESPN grouped the teams in its update:

“Would Be In: Georgia, Ole Miss, Kentucky, Tennessee

Wrong Side Of The Bubble: Florida, Texas, Alabama, LSU

Too Early To Tell: Mississippi State, Missouri, Auburn

Out: Oklahoma, Texas A&M, South Carolina, Arkansas, Vanderbilt”

The projection also laid out the current seeding picture. Under ESPN’s bracket, the first-round byes would go to No.

1 Miami as the ACC champion, No. 2 Ohio State as the Big Ten champion, No.

3 BYU as the Big 12 champion and No. 4 Notre Dame.

The first-round games, set for campus sites on Dec. 18 and 19, would match No. 12 Boise State, the highest Group of 6 team, at No.

5 Indiana; No. 11 Utah at No.

6 Georgia, the SEC champion; No. 10 Tennessee at No.

7 Ole Miss; and No. 9 Kentucky at No.

8 UCLA.

That would set up quarterfinal games of Boise State or Indiana against Notre Dame, Utah or Georgia against BYU, Tennessee or Ole Miss against Ohio State, and Kentucky or UCLA against Miami.

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For LSU, the intrigue is obvious because any long-range Manning watch inevitably invites a look at potential landing spots if the quarterback decides to stay in college beyond the 2027 NFL Draft. Sarkisian has already hinted at more work for backup KJ Lacey, even if a full benching has not been announced, and that uncertainty has only fueled the idea that Mannings next move could become one of the bigger offseason plotlines in the SEC. Georgia, Ole Miss and Oregon are part of that conversation too, but LSU will be paying close attention if the slide continues. [Read more 🡒]

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There is also more than just one game hanging over this trip. LSU is projected to be a slight favorite in its remaining games, which keeps the path to the SEC championship game in play, but Auburns upset of Georgia serves as a reminder that this is not the kind of road spot anyone should take lightly. For LSU, the challenge is as much about surviving a difficult environment as it is about proving its balance can travel when the stakes start to tighten. [Read more 🡒]