Week 1 always brings a little chaos, and this season’s opening slate has plenty of spots where an upset can sneak up and bite somebody. Most of the schedule looks lopsided on paper, but a few games have the kind of ingredients that can flip fast once the ball is kicked off. With roster turnover, coaching changes and a lot of teams still figuring themselves out, there’s room for surprises.
The cleanest upset watch on Friday night is Toledo at Michigan State. The Spartans are opening the Pat Fitzgerald era against a MAC team that may have lost longtime head coach Jason Candle to UConn, but still looks dangerous after landing the conference’s top-ranked transfer portal class.
Toledo also brought in former Mercer coach Mike Jacobs, who owns a 94-23 record at the Division II and FCS levels, and he brought several Mercer players with him. That group includes defensive end Andrew Zock, last season’s Buck Buchanan Award winner after piling up 11.5 sacks, 20 TFLs and 23 QB hurries.
Michigan State has had trouble early against smaller programs in recent years, and this one has the feel of a game that could stay uncomfortable deep into the night.
The most high-profile chance for a shocker comes when Clemson meets No. 11 LSU in Tiger Stadium.
It’s a night game in Baton Rouge, and Death Valley figures to be loud for Lane Kiffin’s first game there. LSU is loaded with talent, but the roster is also packed with new faces, so the question is how quickly all of that comes together.
Clemson, meanwhile, is coming off its worst season under Dabo Swinney and has flown a little under the radar entering the year. Swinney leaned on the transfer portal more than usual to patch holes on defense, but this is still mostly a homegrown roster.
Clemson has not officially named a starting quarterback, though the expectation is senior Christopher Vizzina, who has just one college start. LSU is the favorite, but this has the look of a game where Clemson’s underdog position could make things interesting.
The only top-25 matchup of the weekend lands Sunday night in Nashville, where No. 24 Louisville faces No.
9 Ole Miss. It’s also a sharp coaching contrast, with the Rebels’ defensive-minded Pete Golding going against Jeff Brohm, who lives on the offensive side of the ball.
Louisville has real ACC contender potential, but its ceiling will depend heavily on Ohio State transfer quarterback Lincoln Kienholz. Ole Miss, on the other hand, brings back one of the better QB-RB pairings around in Trinidad Chambliss and Kewan Lacy.
Still, there’s always the possibility of a team easing off a bit after a big season, and Ole Miss could fall into that trap. Brohm has built a reputation for knocking off highly ranked opponents, and this is a chance to do it again while giving Louisville a strong launch point for a schedule that opens up after Week 1.
In Other News...
LSU Clemson Opener Just Got A New Eligibility Twist
With LSU and Clemson set to meet in an opener with plenty of attention already built in, another layer was added when Dabo Swinney addressed the possibility that former Cleveland Browns player DaeQuan Wright and defensive tackle Zxavian Harris could be cleared for the Tigers. Swinney did not take aim at Lane Kiffin, but he made clear he is bothered by how eligibility questions can hang over a game this late in the process, especially when both sides are trying to get ready for a marquee matchup.
Swinney also used the moment to settle one of Clemsons biggest offensive decisions by naming senior Christopher Vizzina as the starting quarterback. For LSU, the wrinkle is less about the announcement itself and more about what it could mean for preparation if those eligibility issues are resolved in time, since the opener has already become a test of depth, timing and last-minute roster clarity before either team takes the field. [Read more 🡒]
LSU Is Suddenly at the Center of an SEC Punishment Debate
LSU has found itself in the middle of an SEC conversation that goes beyond the usual win-loss concerns, with speculation swirling around whether the league could consider the Tigers for expulsion over the way Lane Kiffin and the program have added multiple players with NFL preseason experience. The idea is jarring because the SEC has built its identity around stability, and while schools have come and gone over the years, none has ever been forced out by the conference itself.
The backdrop makes the debate even more striking. The SECs early history was shaped by disputes over amateurism and recruiting rules, and it has long been a league that polices its own standards while rarely testing the outer edges of punishment. LSUs situation has now reopened that old conversation, even if the more immediate question is less about precedent than about how far the conference would be willing to go in response to a move that has rattled its membership. [Read more 🡒]
Dabo Just Added Real Tension To LSUs Opener With Kiffin
Clemson coach Dabo Swinney spent part of a September 1 press conference adding a little extra juice to LSUs season opener, praising Lane Kiffin and reflecting on how long their professional paths have crossed. Swinney said he first met Kiffin when both were assistant coaches in the mid-2000s, and he described the LSU coach as one of the best in the business while also noting the growth he has seen off the field.
It is a notable backdrop for a matchup that already carried plenty of attention, because this will be the first time Swinney and Kiffin meet as head coaches. For LSU, it adds another layer to a game that will say plenty about Kiffins debut stage in Baton Rouge, with one of the sports most recognizable voices publicly framing the Tigers new leader in a way that only raises the stakes. [Read more 🡒]