The Rams have built themselves into the kind of team that makes the rest of the league look up and take notice. They were already sitting near the top of the NFL entering the 2026 season, and then they went out and added Myles Garrett from the Cleveland Browns. That only pushed them further into “superteam” territory.
On paper, that sounds like the perfect setup for a championship run. The Rams now have the highest odds to win the Super Bowl in the league. But as ESPN’s Bill Barnwell pointed out, that kind of preseason buzz can come with a catch.
Barnwell looked at the 15 teams since 1990 that owned the biggest “gap to the rest of the NFL” in Super Bowl odds, and the Rams landed in that group with “Implied odds: 12.5%. Gap to the rest of the NFL: 5.1%,” Barnwell shared.
That number is strong, but it’s not even the biggest in the sample. There are seven teams with a smaller gap than the Rams, while the 2001 Rams sit at the low end of the group at 3.6%. The real warning sign comes from the teams above them.
“Well, if you're a Rams fan, this might be a little worrying,” Barnwell writes. “Every single team that was projected to be more dominant versus the rest of the competition failed to win the Super Bowl.”
That’s the part Rams fans won’t love. Eight teams since 1990 had a larger Super Bowl-odds gap than the Rams do now, and every one of them fell short. That list includes the 2007 New England Patriots, the 2002 Rams, and the 2017 Patriots, with the biggest gap in the group reaching 11.5%.
Barnwell’s larger point is hard to miss: being the clear preseason favorite does not guarantee a parade in February. Only two teams in his top-15 study actually won it all, the 1994 San Francisco 49ers and the 2018 Patriots.
So yes, the Rams look like the favorite. Yes, they look loaded.
But history says superteams like this usually come up short. That doesn’t knock them out of contention by any means, but it does leave just enough room for Rams fans to feel uneasy.
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