Dalton Knecht’s second season with the Lakers never really found its footing, and one team insider thinks the explanation goes beyond the box score.
On Monday, Jovan Buha floated a trade-related theory for why Knecht still hasn’t won over JJ Redick in Los Angeles. Buha pointed to a broad statistical slide, saying, “The short of it, for me, it’s a couple of things,” before laying out the drop-off in Knecht’s shooting and all-around numbers.
“If you just look at Dalton’s numbers this season compared to last season and across the board, you’ll see his field goal percentage declined, his three-point shooting declined, and his free throw percentage declined. You’ll also see that per 36 or per 100 possessions, he declined as a rebounder and passer.”
Buha said the trend showed up in the advanced numbers too, while also noting that Knecht’s turnover rate almost doubled.
“You look at his advanced metrics, they all decreased across the board, and his turnover rate nearly doubled. I think with Dalton, he hasn’t been the same player since the trade got rescinded.
I think he had already started to decline a bit pre-trade. He had a few big performances post-trade when they were shorthanded.
I think this year he had a couple of decent games, although most of them were in garbage time and shorthanded situations.”
He also raised concerns about Knecht’s processing on both ends of the floor.
“Dalton is a below-average processor on both sides of the ball. His defense, the way that he reads the floor, his decision-making, there are some limitations there.
Offensively, there are several viral clips of him forgetting plays and JJ chewing him out. You cannot forget plays at the NBA level, that is inexcusable as a young guy, especially as an older young guy.”
Buha was referring to the failed 2024-25 midseason deal that would have sent Knecht, Cam Reddish, a future first-round pick, and a pick swap to the Hornets for Mark Williams. A failed physical from Williams killed the trade, and Buha believes the aftermath has lingered for Knecht mentally.
That kind of situation can take a toll on a young player trying to establish himself, especially when he’s suddenly on the trade block only months into his first season. In Buha’s view, Knecht may have taken the message as a sign the Lakers didn’t see him as part of their long-term plans.
The numbers back up the rough year. Knecht averaged 4.2 points per game this past season while shooting 45.5% from the field and 34.2% from three. As a rookie, he put up 9.1 points per game and shot 46.1% overall and 37.6% from deep.
For Knecht, being part of an unsuccessful trade while still a rookie may have been the toughest break of his NBA start.
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