The All-Star break has arrived, and with it comes a fresh look at the 2026 World Series race. The Dodgers are still sitting at the top, the Yankees remain their biggest threat from the American League, and a few clubs have made serious moves in the first half while others have slipped hard.
Los Angeles opened the season as the favorite at +230, and the number has only gotten shorter. The Dodgers are now +190, which implies a 34.48% chance of winning a third straight title. That’s the clearest sign yet that they’re still the team everyone is chasing.
New York hasn’t lost much ground either. The Yankees were +1000 before the season and have moved all the way to +500, giving them the best odds in the AL and the second-best mark overall.
One of the biggest risers has been Milwaukee. The Brewers came into the year at 35-1, but after a 59-37 start through 96 games, they’re down to 11-1. Atlanta has also improved its standing, with the Braves moving from 18-1 to 12-1.
The biggest jumps have come in the American League. Chicago’s White Sox were 500-1 before the season, but they’ve climbed to 45-1 after a 50-45 start. The Rangers and Guardians have also seen their odds shorten during the first half.
Not everyone has stayed in the race. The Mets have taken the hardest fall, dropping from 13-1 before the season to 28-1 to make the playoffs and 400-1 to win the World Series. Toronto and Boston have both seen their odds more than double, while Houston and Detroit have slid lower in the pack.
A few more clubs have also drifted from the upper tier to the long-shot group. The Tigers, Orioles, Padres, and Royals have all moved from 40-1 or better to 60-1 or longer.
For now, the picture is pretty clear: the Dodgers are still the team to beat, and the Yankees look like the one club in the AL with a real shot to stop them. If you’re looking for a team a little further down the board, the NL group around +1200 is worth a look. The Brewers, Braves, and Phillies all have strong pitching staffs and could be in the market for help at the trade deadline.
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