A busy Wednesday slate that gets rolling before 5 p.m. EST gives bettors plenty of early home run options, and the prop board is loaded with three names worth a look.
The SI Betting team already cashed one on Tuesday with Michael Harris II at +362, and the hunt for another long-ball winner continues with Boston rookie Roman Anthony, Baltimore star Pete Alonso and Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman all in play for Sept. 2.
Anthony is the swing I like most from a pure value standpoint, even though the power numbers have barely shown up in a small sample this season. He missed plenty of time for Boston and has just one home run in 33 games, but since returning from the injured list he’s started to heat up in a hurry.
Anthony has three multi-hit games, is batting .462 and has added two doubles and a triple. He still hasn’t left the yard, but the bat is loud right now.
The matchup helps too. Boston faces the Seattle Mariners and Bryce Miller, who carries a 4.12 ERA and gave up five home runs in four starts last month.
Miller has allowed 17 homers in as many appearances this season and has surrendered at least six runs in back-to-back outings. Even with Anthony’s limited power output, this is the kind of spot that makes sense to take a shot.
Alonso comes with a much shorter number, but the case is just as strong. The Baltimore Orioles star has 32 home runs in the 2026 season and has been one of the better offseason acquisitions. Baltimore is chasing a wild card spot in the American League, and Wednesday brings a matchup with the Colorado Rockies, whose pitching staff has been one of the worst in MLB.
Tomoyuki Sugano, a former Oriole who allowed the most home runs in the American League last season, is starting for Colorado. In 2026, he’s already given up 27 homers in 24 appearances, and Coors Field doesn’t exactly offer much help. He was also tagged for six home runs in five starts last month.
Alonso has done plenty of damage against right-handed pitching, hitting .274 with 24 of his 32 home runs. He’s also homered nine times in his last 26 games, with a .347 batting average and an OPS well over 1.000 during that stretch. At +240, he still deserves a look in the series finale.
Freeman is the biggest swing of the three, but the price is tempting. The Dodgers first baseman has gone 23 games without a home run, which has pushed his number all the way to +559 for Wednesday. That drought makes the bet risky, but Freeman’s recent contact is too good to ignore.
Over the last two weeks, Freeman is hitting .293, and over the last week he’s up to .400 in six games. He gets a left-handed matchup against St.
Louis Cardinals starter Quinn Matthews, who has allowed 23 hits in 19.2 innings across four appearances in 2026. Freeman has handled lefties well this year, batting .275 with four homers and a .733 OPS.
He also gets a Cardinals bullpen that owns a 4.49 ERA this season.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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