Tuesday’s home run props delivered in a big way, and the focus now shifts to Aug. 12 with a fresh set of power targets headlined by Junior Caminero and Shohei Ohtani.
Caminero is riding a two-game homer streak and has pushed his season total to 35, which makes him an obvious name to watch in Wednesday’s series finale against the Athletics. The setting helps, too.
Sutter Health Park has played as a dream for hitters this season, with Statcast giving it an overall Park Factor of 113 - the best in baseball and even better than Coors Field. Its home run park factor sits at 126, second in the league behind only Nationals Park, meaning homers are flying there at a rate well above the MLB average.
The matchup also lines up. The Athletics are sending right-hander Jack Perkins to the mound, and he ranks in the 10th percentile in ground-ball rate this season while allowing 15 home runs in 28 appearances, mostly from the bullpen.
Caminero’s batting average has dipped some lately, but he still has seven homers over his last 25 games. Against that kind of pitching environment, he looks like a strong bet to keep the streak going.
Another name worth circling is Cincinnati rookie Sal Stewart, who has been one of the season’s breakout power bats. He’s hitting .254 with 25 home runs and an .803 OPS in 2026, and 19 of those long balls have come against right-handed pitching. Stewart has also been heating up lately, with six homers in his last 22 games.
That form puts him in a solid spot against the White Sox and veteran right-hander Luis Castillo, a former Red. Castillo has struggled all year to the tune of a 5.30 ERA, and the damage has piled up in his last four starts, when he’s allowed eight home runs.
In all, he has given up 17 homers in 21 appearances. The Reds have other options in this market, but Stewart has been the hottest of the bunch and is worth a look at the number.
Ohtani rounds out the card, and the setup is appealing. He’s in the middle of the NL MVP race with Pete Crow-Armstrong and has been locked in over the past two weeks, batting .319 with three home runs in 12 games. On Wednesday night, he faces a Kansas City staff that is expected to lean on its bullpen, with Daniel Lynch IV making the start after lasting just 1.2 innings in his last outing.
Lynch has allowed only two home runs this season, but the Royals’ relief corps has been a far bigger problem. Kansas City owns the No. 29 bullpen ERA at 5.36 and has surrendered 71 home runs, which sets Ohtani up to see multiple arms vulnerable to the long ball. For the season, he’s hitting .290 with 26 home runs and a .929 OPS.
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