Dodgers Survived A Rotation Scare But One Question Still Lingers

Despite the Dodgers' offensive consistency, injuries and bullpen struggles have created turbulence as they navigate the middle third of their 2026 season.

Tuesday night’s win over the Seattle Mariners pushed the Dodgers to 108 games, which puts the 2026 season exactly two-thirds of the way home. And when you split the year into thirds, the picture is pretty clear: the Dodgers have looked a lot like the same team in terms of results, but not in how they’ve gotten there.

The record in the first 54 games matched the record in the middle 54. The run differential did not.

In the opening third, the Dodgers were outscoring opponents by two runs per game. In the middle third, that edge shrank to less than half that.

The offense, meanwhile, barely moved at all on the surface, with 279 runs in the first 54 games and 277 in the next 54, and the same wRC+ in both stretches.

Behind the plate, the biggest shift came after Will Smith went down. Smith hasn’t played since June 5, and Dalton Rushing has taken on the bulk of the catching work in his first real extended stretch as a pro. The Dodgers also had to lean on Chuckie Robinson and Eliezer Alfonzo for 12 starts instead of Smith or Rushing, and the offensive dropoff there was obvious.

The numbers show the contrast. Smith went from 85 wRC+ in the first third to 193 in his limited second-third work.

Rushing stayed productive, though not at the same level, dropping from 146 to 109. Robinson and Alfonzo combined for very little at the plate.

The everyday lineup tells a more mixed story. Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman were the headliners in the middle third, with Ohtani posting .306/.385/.596 and Freeman at .340/.399/.529.

Ohtani also found his power after a relatively quieter first 54 games in that department. Freeman’s production climbed as well.

Some spots held steady, and others went sideways. Max Muncy and Andy Pages remained productive.

Tommy Edman’s return added another layer to the offense, and he hit .330/.403/.481 in the middle third. At the same time, the corner outfield production from Kyle Tucker and Teoscar Hernández was rough.

Tucker hit .227/.315/.337, while Hernández, who missed a month with a hamstring strain, slumped to .183/.244/.268.

There were also some clear shifts in the supporting cast. Mookie Betts went from a limited first-third sample to a much larger role in the middle third and improved from a 55 wRC+ to 101.

Miguel Rojas also ticked up from 79 to 121. Michael Conforto’s second-third line was quieter, and Hyeseong Kim went from regular work early to just four plate appearances in the middle stretch.

On the pitching side, the rotation held together better than the raw injury list might suggest. The Dodgers were without Tyler Glasnow after his strong first third, and Blake Snell never appeared at all in the first 108 games. Even so, Eric Lauer stepped in effectively, and the club ended up with a surprisingly steady six-man group.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto was the anchor. In the middle third, he was excellent and averaged 6.85 innings per start. The rotation as a whole was nearly even from one third to the next, with the Dodgers posting a 3.29 ERA in the first 54 games and a 3.38 ERA in the middle 54.

Shohei Ohtani’s pitching line changed after July 3, when knee inflammation kept him off the mound. Before that, he gave the rotation a huge boost. Bobby Miller, Emmet Sheehan, and Roki Sasaki each had their own stretches of effectiveness and struggle across the two halves of the comparison, while Lauer’s work helped steady things in the middle third.

The bullpen is where the season really split apart.

In the first 54 games, the Dodgers’ relievers posted a 2.74 ERA. In the middle 54, that number ballooned to 5.23. The walk rate jumped by more than 40 percent, and the damage showed up everywhere.

Will Klein and Kyle Hurt were especially important early, combining for a 1.64 ERA with 10 walks in 38 1/3 innings. In the middle third, that same duo had a 6.62 ERA and 28 walks in 35 1/3 innings. Alex Vesia’s middle-third numbers were also affected by walks, even though the rest of his line was mostly fine.

Brock Stewart has been one of the steadier pieces since returning from the injured list, and Evan Phillips is back after Tommy John surgery, but he has already allowed four home runs in seven appearances.

The middle-third bullpen numbers also took a beating from the lower-leverage innings. Jonathan Hernández, Charlie Barnes, and Landon Knack combined to allow 28 runs and 11 home runs in 28 2/3 mop-up innings.

One more note on the staff: the Dodgers used one true bullpen game in the first third of the season and three in the middle third. Lauer’s six scoreless innings after an opener on June 22 counted as a quality start, and on the season the Dodgers have 58 real quality starts, plus one relief appearance by Lauer. That total is nine more than the next-best team.

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