Dodgers Have An October Problem Phillies Could Expose

As the Dodgers' offensive troubles mount, their impending Wild Card showdown with the Phillies could prove to be their biggest challenge yet.

The Dodgers looked like they were cruising toward another division crown and the luxury of a first-round bye. Instead, they’ve hit a rough patch at exactly the wrong time, dropping eight of their last 11 games entering play on Wednesday. That skid has even pushed Dave Roberts to describe his club as a wild-card team.

Right now, the National League West still isn’t in danger of slipping away. But if the standings hold, the Dodgers would be hosting the Philadelphia Phillies in the Wild Card round, and that’s where the trouble starts.

The biggest issue is obvious before the first pitch is even thrown: there’s no off day in a three-game Wild Card series. That strips Roberts of the chance to line up his pitching the way he’d want for the NLDS. And beyond that scheduling wrinkle, the Dodgers have a playoff problem baked into their offense.

For all the star power in that lineup, Los Angeles has been ground-ball bait all season. The Dodgers have grounded into 100 double plays, the most in baseball. Last year, they finished with 108, so unless this trend gets corrected quickly, they’re on pace to blow past that total.

Teoscar Hernández just grounded into the Dodgers' 100th double play of the season, most in the majors.

  • Fabian Ardaya (@FabianArdaya) August 11, 2026

That kind of inning-killer can wreck a rally in a hurry. In October, when every out gets magnified and defense takes center stage, it becomes even more dangerous.

And the Phillies are built to make that problem worse. Their staff has a 44.9% ground-ball rate, the second-highest in baseball. On top of that, Christopher Sanchez and Jesús Luzardo both carry ground-ball rates above 50%, while Zack Wheeler is striking out more than 30% of the hitters he faces.

That’s the kind of matchup that can turn a short series into a headache fast. For the Dodgers, a Wild Card showdown with Philadelphia would bring a tough draw and a very real chance for their biggest offensive flaw to show up at the worst possible moment.

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