The Dodgers have a clear type of pitcher to chase this winter, and Bryan Abreu fits it almost too neatly.
Tarik Skubal sits at the top of the market, and the rest of the starting pitching class drops off quickly after him. Los Angeles will check in on Skubal, and if a reasonable deal can be worked out, that would be the kind of move the Dodgers would love to make. But the expectation is that Andrew Friedman leans more on the trade market than on handing out a huge free-agent contract.
That leaves the bullpen as a more realistic place to hunt for help, especially with several Dodgers reaching free agency. Alex Vesia leads that group, with Evan Phillips, Brusdar Graterol, Kris Bubic and Blake Treinen also hitting the market.
What the Dodgers probably should not do is chase another expensive bullpen splash. The club already went down that road with Tanner Scott and, more recently, Edwin Diaz, and the results have been mixed at best.
Abreu, though, makes a lot of sense as a target on a team-friendly deal. The Houston Astros right-hander has put together five straight solid seasons, and durability has been part of the package. Over that stretch, he has averaged 68.2 appearances while posting a 2.56 ERA.
The underlying numbers back it up, too. In 2026, Abreu ranked in the 92nd percentile in xBA, the 97th percentile in whiff percentage and the 91st percentile in strikeout percentage. He works with a three-pitch mix, but the cutter takes a back seat to his fastball-slider combination.
At 29, he brings a proven track record and postseason experience. There’s also a case for a fresh start in a new league, where hitters would be less familiar with his arsenal.
For a Dodgers bullpen that showed in October it could use another layer of quality, Abreu would bring exactly that: a right-handed power arm who should not be overwhelmed when the games get biggest. That matters, especially with a relief group that has leaned left-handed and too often had to ask lefties to get right-handed hitters out based on splits and other analytics-driven numbers.
The upside of younger arms in the system is obvious, but the Dodgers need more than upside here. They need someone who has already been there.
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