A 12-game Week 6 slate is on deck, and the anytime touchdown market is once again offering a couple of clean, plus-money swings.
This has already been a profitable column through the early part of the 2026 season. Ja'Marr Chase hit in Week 2, Kenyon Sadiq and Garrett Wilson cashed in Week 3, Sam LaPorta got home in Week 4 and Trey McBride delivered in Week 5. That gives this group a touchdown scorer hit in four straight weeks, and the goal here is to make it five in a row.
The two picks this week come from very different spots on the schedule. One is a Las Vegas Raiders receiver with a favorable home matchup against a Buffalo defense that has been getting hit through the air all year. The other is Christian Watson on Sunday night, with Green Bay set up to attack a Dallas defense that has been getting shredded in 2026.
Watson is the centerpiece of the Sunday night angle, and it’s not hard to see why. He has been a touchdown machine through five games, scoring six times and finding the end zone in four of those matchups. He has also been targeted at least eight times in four of his five appearances.
The Packers wideout has clearly become the top option at receiver, catching 26 of 40 targets for 474 yards. In Week 5 against Chicago, he found the end zone twice in a game where Jordan Love threw for 367 yards.
Now he gets a Dallas defense that ranks last in the NFL in yards per play allowed, EPA/Pass, EPA/Play and success rate. The Cowboys have already allowed 10 passing touchdowns this season, and the betting market is pointing toward offense here with the total sitting at 53.5.
CeeDee Lamb (+125), Matthew Golden (+145) and George Pickens (+150) are also in the mix for Sunday Night Football, but Watson has been the most reliable scorer of the group so far this season. That big-play profile is hard to ignore.
The Raiders side of the board is built around Buffalo’s struggles against opposing wide receivers. The Bills have allowed 76 completions to wideouts, the highest rate in the league, along with 937 yards and nine touchdowns to the position.
Brock Bowers is still Las Vegas’ top target, but this matchup could push the Raiders toward their receivers in the passing game. Tre Tucker has been the lone consistently productive wideout for Las Vegas this season, with 12 more catches than any other Raiders receiver. He’s in position to score his second touchdown of the year.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
In Other News...
Raiders Could Fix Their O-Line Problem At A Price Few Want
The Raiders still have a clear hole at left guard, and the idea of patching it with a proven star is easy to understand. Quenton Nelson remains one of the leagues most decorated interior linemen, and with contract talks in Indianapolis still going nowhere, his name has started to hover over any team looking for an immediate upgrade up front. For a Las Vegas roster still trying to build itself back into something sturdier, the appeal is obvious: fix one of the lines most important spots with a player who has already shown he can anchor a front.
The harder part is the cost, and that is where the conversation gets tricky for a rebuilding team. Trading for Nelson would almost certainly mean surrendering meaningful draft capital and then committing to a major contract on top of it, the kind of move that can reshape a roster before it fully matures. For the Raiders, the question is not whether Nelson would help, but whether chasing that help now is worth giving up the picks and flexibility they may need to keep developing the younger pieces around him. [Read more 🡒]
Raiders Need More Than Brock Bowers In Kubiaks Early Test
Klint Kubiak has made it clear early in his Raiders tenure that the passing game cannot lean on Brock Bowers alone. The coach has been pushing for more production from the wide receivers to help balance the offense, and he has already started pointing to names beyond the tight end room as part of that solution. Dont'e Thornton Jr. earned a specific mention for his conditioning and his work in the meeting room, the kind of detail that usually signals a player is doing more than just showing up to practice.
Jalen Nailor has also caught Kubiak's attention as a playmaker, and the staff believes he can be part of what helps this offense move forward. The broader idea is simple enough: spread the ball around more, get the wideouts involved earlier in drives and ease the pressure on Bowers, who has been asked to shoulder a heavy share of the offense. How quickly that redistribution happens, and who benefits most when the game plan starts taking shape, will be one of the more interesting early tests for Kubiak. [Read more 🡒]
Raiders Fans May Wait Longer Than Expected For Fernando Mendoza
Fernando Mendoza has already shown up in an NFL game in a limited role, but the Raiders do not appear ready to hand him the offense just yet. Las Vegas is 3-2 entering Week 6, and Kirk Cousins is still holding onto the starting job as the team navigates a season that has stayed competitive early.
One analyst, Brad Gagnon, thinks the wait could stretch well past the immediate future, pointing to the way the schedule lines up over the next several weeks. The Raiders are staring at a difficult run that includes the Rams, Jets, 49ers, Seahawks and Broncos, which makes it harder to imagine a clean opening for Mendoza to take over anytime soon. [Read more 🡒]