As NFL teams converge at the combine, all eyes are on the quarterback scene, and the Las Vegas Raiders find themselves at a fascinating crossroads. The prevailing wisdom in the league is clear: without a top-tier quarterback, success is elusive. This puts the Raiders in a unique situation as they navigate their options.
Sam Walder from ESPN recently categorized each team's QB1, and his analysis highlights the Raiders' predicament. The Raiders fall into the "Locked In" tier, primarily due to speculation that they might select Fernando Mendoza, the standout quarterback from Indiana, with their top draft pick in April.
However, the assumption that Mendoza will be the Raiders' QB1 isn't set in stone. New head coach Klint Kubiak has expressed positive sentiments about Mendoza, but he's also acutely aware of the challenges that come with starting a rookie quarterback, especially given the current state of the Raiders' roster.
Another potential option is sticking with their current quarterback, Geno Smith, who had a rough season. Financially, the Raiders are committed to Smith for $18 million in 2026, along with an additional $8 million in injury-guarantee money due in March. Kubiak has a history with Smith from their time in Seattle, which could make Smith a viable placeholder or bridge quarterback, though this idea might not sit well with the fan base.
The quarterback market is just beginning to heat up, with various names being tossed around. While many aren't top-tier candidates, Kubiak likely has his own evaluation criteria, distinct from the swirling rumors.
There's also the possibility of trading down if Kubiak isn't sold on Mendoza. While this seems unlikely at present, it could be a strategic move, potentially netting the Raiders additional first-round picks.
Ultimately, nothing is finalized. The key moment will come next month; if the Raiders decide to part ways with Smith before his injury guarantee kicks in, it signals a new direction. In that scenario, locking in Mendoza would be the logical step, unless Kubiak has an unexpected plan ready to unfold.