Kentucky's Playoff Push Suddenly Comes With Very Little Room For Error

After a strong win against Oklahoma, Kentucky football emerges as a formidable contender in early playoff projections, poised for potential SEC glory.

The College Football Playoff picture is still weeks away from taking shape in earnest, but Kentucky is already showing up in the conversation.

With the committee not set to unveil its first rankings for another two weeks, mid-October projections are doing the heavy lifting for now. Kentucky sits at 6-1 overall and alone atop the Southeastern Conference standings at 4-1 in league play, which has made the Wildcats a popular selection in this week’s mock brackets. That comes even though Kentucky is No. 12 in the Associated Press poll, a spot that would leave it just outside the field if the committee matched the AP order exactly.

The path, though, is straightforward enough.

If Kentucky finishes 11-1, it is in the SEC Championship Game and assured a place in the playoff no matter what happens there. A 10-2 finish should also be enough to get the Wildcats in. If that second loss comes in the SEC title game, Will Stein and company may have a more anxious wait before the bracket is revealed the next day.

At 9-3, Kentucky’s chances look shaky. One wrinkle is how the committee will treat the SEC’s shift to a nine-game conference schedule when weighing the impact of a third loss.

The playoff format itself is set up with automatic bids for the champions of the SEC, Big Ten, Big 12 and ACC, plus the highest-ranked conference champion from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 and Sun Belt. Notre Dame also gets an automatic bid if it is ranked in the top 12.

The rest of the field comes from at-large selections based on the committee’s final ranking. Because the automatic spot for the top-ranked Group of Six champion is likely to come from outside the top 12, the at-large teams will probably be pulled from the top 11.

The top four teams get first-round byes. The other eight would play first-round games on campus sites, with the better seed hosting.

Among the latest projections, Kentucky has turned up in a few different spots. The Athletic has the Wildcats as the No. 11 seed facing No.

6 Ole Miss. CBS Sports has them slotted at No. 10 against No.

7 Ole Miss. Sports Illustrated also sees Kentucky as the No. 10 seed, but with Ohio State as the opponent.

ESPN and On3 both left Kentucky out of the projected playoff field.

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Nawrot is one piece of a broader offensive push that could keep gaining momentum for Kentucky. The Wildcats are also being projected as the favorite to land 4-star offensive tackle John Paul Carrico, a highly regarded in-state prospect, which would give Stein a chance to pair quarterback efficiency with added protection up front. For a staff trying to establish its identity quickly, those two names say plenty about the direction Kentucky wants to head. [Read more 🡒]

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