Kansas State’s offense has done the most important thing through three games: it has put up points. The Wildcats have scored at least 30 in every outing, and they’re averaging nearly 3.9 points per drive, a number that jumps off the page for all the right reasons.
Still, there’s a warning light blinking under the hood. The scoring is real, but the way K-State is getting there has leaned too heavily on third-down heroics and too many long-yardage situations. That’s the part that has to change if the Wildcats want this to hold up once Big 12 play starts next Saturday at Cincinnati.
The headline number is obvious: K-State leads the country by converting 67.4% of its third downs. That’s elite, and it says plenty about Avery Johnson and Collin Klein. Johnson has made plays in the biggest moments, and Klein has been sharp in putting him in position to succeed.
But that kind of success on third down is hard to live on. Over the past two games, the first team offense has picked up first downs on 20 of 30 third-down chances, not counting the knee to end the Tulane game. The catch is that 14 of those 20 conversions came on third-and-5 or longer.
The numbers against Washington State tell the same story. K-State went 10-for-15 on third down with the first unit, but the average distance needed was 6.2 yards. Every one of those 10 conversions came with 6 yards or more to go.
It was more of the same against Tulane. The Wildcats faced third-and-5 or worse on nine of their 15 third-down snaps and converted six of them. That’s a strong success rate, but it’s not a formula you can expect to keep surviving over the long haul.
The issue starts earlier, on first and second down, and the ground game is where that problem shows up. It sounds odd to nitpick a rushing attack that ranks No. 9 nationally at 269 yards per game and No. 10 at 6.7 yards per carry. But the production has been uneven.
Rodney Fields Jr. and Joe Jackson have delivered the explosives - Fields had a 75-yard touchdown against Washington State, and Jackson broke loose for a 35-yard run against the Cougars - but most of the carries have been bottled up. Over the last two games, those two backs have combined for 42 carries, and 36 of them went for 4 yards or fewer. Twenty-seven went for 3 yards or fewer, and 19 went for 2 yards or fewer.
Against Tulane, Jackson’s 8-yard run was the longest by a K-State running back. Jackson and Fields Jr. combined for 19 attempts, and 17 of them gained 4 yards or less.
Fifteen were held to 3 yards or less. Jay Harris did score both times from the 1-yard line in goal-to-go situations against the Green Wave, but the larger issue remains the same: K-State needs more consistent push up front and more steady production from the backfield.
That’s the tradeoff right now. The Wildcats have plenty of splash plays, but not enough dependable early-down efficiency. And when the run game does hit, it tends to hit big.
K-State is fourth nationally with 27 runs of 10 or more yards and tied for second with 10 runs of 20-plus yards. Collegefootballdata.com has the Wildcats third in the Big 12 and 15th nationally in rushing explosives.
A big reason is Johnson, who has turned his legs into a major weapon. His 253 rushing yards through three games make up 53% of his total on the ground for the 2025 season.
Against Tulane, he ran for a career-high 152 yards, topping his previous best of 110 against Arizona in 2024. His 66-yard run against the Green Wave was also a career-best.
Johnson leads all quarterbacks nationally at 10.5 yards per carry. His 253 rushing yards are the second-most among power-four quarterbacks, his five runs of 20-plus yards are tied for second-most nationally among all players, and his nine runs of 10-plus yards rank in the top 20 overall. He’s also up to 15th nationally in quarterback rating.
Against Tulane, he put together a game no K-State quarterback had ever produced, becoming the first in program history to throw for more than 200 yards and rush for more than 150 in the same game. For a school with a long line of talented dual-threat quarterbacks going back to the 1990s, that’s a notable line in the record book.
K-State fans have wanted Johnson to lean into his running ability for a long time, and now he is. That gives the offense another layer, forcing defenses to account for him both on designed runs and when he escapes the pocket. The ceiling rises when that part of his game is in full gear.
Even so, the path forward is clear. The Wildcats need a more reliable run game and better work from the offensive line on the early downs. If that happens, the third-and-long load lightens, the offense gets more manageable situations, and the whole operation becomes harder to stop.
In Other News...
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Dylan Edwards, though, had the kind of day that can swing a game in a heartbeat. The former Kansas State standout handled 22 touches for 105 yards for Kansas in its London matchup with Arizona State, but a crucial fumble ended up becoming the moment that tilted the loss the other way. For a player who did plenty right, the final memory was a painful one. [Read more 🡒]
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Kansas State May Have Found A New Goal Line Weapon
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Collin Klein and Harriss teammates came away talking about how effective he can be when the field shrinks and power matters most. For a Kansas State offense that values versatility, Harriss emergence as a short-yardage presence gives the staff another wrinkle to lean on, and it leaves plenty of intrigue about how often theyll keep turning to him in those situations moving forward. [Read more 🡒]