TCU’s season hit another painful checkpoint in Tucson, but the Horned Frogs get a quick chance to answer back at home.
After Arizona’s late rally turned into a 29-28 loss, TCU now sits at 4-5 overall and 2-4 in Big 12 play. With three regular-season games left, the math is simple: the Frogs need two more wins to reach bowl eligibility.
Saturday’s matchup with Kansas State at Amon G. Carter Stadium gives them one of those chances, and maybe their best one to stop the slide.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. CT on ESPNU.
Kansas State comes in at 4-5 overall and 1-5 in league play, and the Wildcats have been stumbling lately. They’ve lost three straight, and quarterback injuries have forced them to cycle through four different starters in four consecutive games.
Avery Johnson is listed out for Saturday.
TCU still has work to do on its own side of the ball, especially after another finish that stung. The Frogs need to turn home field into something more than a backdrop for frustration, because the schedule doesn’t leave much room after this.
TCU closes at home against Utah on November 21 before heading to Texas Tech on Thanksgiving. A win over Kansas State would give the Frogs two shots at that sixth victory.
A loss would leave them needing to sweep the final two.
The KillerFrogs staff thinks TCU gets it done.
Baileigh Sheffield picked TCU 28-17. Emma Swinney had the Frogs 28-21. JD Andress went with 24-10, Jason Phillips with 24-17, Michael Bara V with 28-24, Ryann Zeller with 27-17, Tom Burke with 27-21, Sean Foushee with 34-17 and Tori Couch with 30-10.
In all, 12 staff members chose TCU, while Jackson and Seth took Kansas State. The range stretched from a one-point Wildcats win to a 20-point Frogs victory, with several picks pointing to a tight finish and others expecting TCU to finally create some separation.
That’s a different feel from last week, when 11 of the 14 listed staff members backed Arizona. Arizona’s 29-28 win rewarded those 11 correct picks, and Emma Swinney, JD Andress and Jason Phillips tied for the closest prediction with a combined score differential of 13. Emma predicted Arizona 35-21, while JD and Jason each had Arizona 24-20.
Emma and Michael Bara V now share the best winner-picking record at 6-3. Most of the staff sits at 5-4, while Jason, Nathan Cross and Skyler Gerard are 4-5. Baileigh Sheffield is 5-3 across eight submitted picks.
Emma also leads the cumulative score-accuracy standings at 142, with Ryann Zeller second at 150. JD is third at 156, followed by Seth at 160 and Jason at 162. Tom Burke is sixth at 164.
The closest-prediction awards have now been handed out in eight games: Grambling State, Arkansas State, UCF, BYU, Baylor, West Virginia, Kansas and Arizona. Arizona’s three-way tie pushed the total to 10 individual credits.
Sean Foushee earned the award for Grambling State, Tori Couch for Arkansas State, Tom for UCF, Ryann for BYU, Michael for Baylor, Emma for West Virginia and Tom again for Kansas. Emma, JD and Jason shared the Arizona honor.
No credit was awarded for North Carolina because every staff member picked TCU and the Frogs lost.
There’s at least one clear edge for TCU in this matchup: the Frogs are allowing 15.8 points per game, while Kansas State is giving up 26.8.
And that’s why the staff mostly expects the Frogs to respond. The predictions lean toward TCU controlling the game, limiting Kansas State’s run game and finally finding some breathing room late.
The message from the picks is pretty straightforward: the Frogs are expected to bounce back, and this one may not come down to the final snap.
In Other News...
K-State Faces A Stressful TCU Trip With Bowl Stakes Hanging Over It
Fridays trip to Fort Worth turned into an unexpected waiting game for Kansas State, as a rare nationwide FAA ground stoppage kept the Wildcats charter from taking off. The team sat on the tarmac for about an hour before getting off the plane and heading back to Bill Snyder Family Stadium, where they waited for further instructions with their scheduled game at TCU looming.
For a Kansas State team trying to keep its bowl hopes in clear view, the timing of the disruption only adds to the stress of the weekend. It is still unclear if or when the Wildcats will be able to depart, leaving the logistics of the trip as much of a storyline as the matchup itself. [Read more 🡒]
Kansas State Rebuild Just Landed A Piece Casey Alexander Needed
Kansas States rebuilding effort picked up a meaningful boost with the signing of Kam Cooper, a four-star swingman from Manhattan High School. The 6-foot-6 prospect has put pen to paper on a national letter of intent, giving coach Casey Alexander a needed addition as the Wildcats continue sorting through coaching changes and roster turnover.
Coopers decision came over other options that included TCU, UNLV and Wichita State, a sign that Kansas State was able to win a competitive recruiting battle for a player with real upside. For a program trying to stabilize and move forward, landing a talent of that caliber is the kind of step that can help shape what comes next, even if the bigger picture is still coming together. [Read more 🡒]
Collin Klein Is Already Chasing A Big 12 Recruiting Edge
Collin Klein is wasting no time trying to carve out an advantage on the recruiting trail, and Kansas States latest push reaches well beyond the current cycle. The Wildcats are actively pursuing linebacker Ben Puckett, a 2027 prospect from Bixby, Oklahoma, even after he already committed to Montana State, while also extending offers to a steady stream of other high school players across several classes.
For Kansas State, the broader message is clear: Klein and his staff are trying to build a pipeline that keeps the program competitive in the Big 12 for years to come. Targeting prospects from 2027 through 2030 shows a long-view approach, one that leans on early relationships and consistent evaluation as the Wildcats work to stack future classes before the rest of the league can fully catch up. [Read more 🡒]