We’ve got a full slate of Week 11 college football betting spots, and a few Big 12 numbers stand out right away.
Start with Kansas State at TCU, where the Wildcats are catching +10.5. That’s the first time all season K-State has been a double-digit underdog, and it’s also the first time one of its games has had an over/under below 45, sitting at 44.5.
The line tells you oddsmakers don’t expect much from the Wildcats against a Horned Frogs defense that has earned plenty of respect. Even so, the over has some appeal because TCU should be able to move the ball on Kansas State.
Kansas is in another tight spread spot at West Virginia, and the number feels a little light at +2.5. The Jayhawks haven’t been good away from Lawrence under Lance Leipold, and they haven’t won or covered a spread this small in seven straight road games.
If Kansas is going to hang around, it likely needs a big scoring night. That’s a tall ask with West Virginia averaging 37.2 points per game.
The other Big 12 game on the board that jumps out is Baylor at BYU, with the Bears getting +7.5. BYU has not looked like the same team since its upset of Notre Dame.
Over its last three games, the Cougars lost to UCF, barely got by Arizona State at home and then lost at Utah. Baylor, meanwhile, has been trending up under interim head coach Joe Klanderman.
Unless BYU finds its best version again, this one should stay tight.
A few other lines worth watching around the country:
UNLV is getting +14.5 at New Mexico, and that number feels a little too generous for a Lobos team that has become one of the season’s better stories. Jason Eck’s group has been fun, but New Mexico leans on defense and may not score enough to separate by three touchdowns. UNLV has scored at least 31 points in five of its last six games.
USC is taking +9.5 at Indiana, and the Trojans have a chance to show up well after a bye week. Indiana is 8-1, but it’s only 1-8 against the spread and hasn’t covered as a home favorite all season. USC has enough offense to keep it close.
Houston is laying -10.5 at Colorado, but the Cougars have not been a reliable team against the number. They are 3-6 ATS and have covered only once as a favorite all year. Colorado has enough fight at home to make this interesting.
A few more leans on the card: North Dakota State -6.5 at Hawaii, Utah -2.5 at Arizona, Wake Forest +1.5 at SMU, Tennessee -2.5 at Texas A&M, and Oregon over Michigan at +10.5.
For the upset pick, UTSA at +150 against North Texas stands out. The Road Runners were ugly in a 60-29 loss to FAU last week, but that came on the road in the middle of the week.
Now they’re back home with extra rest, and the Alamodome has been a tough place to win under Jeff Traylor. UTSA is 33-5 at home since he took over, and that makes the Road Runners worth a look.
Last week’s record was 2-3 (-1.1 units), and the overall mark sits at 27-23 (+2.5 units).
In Other News...
Collin Klein Just Made A Pressure-Filled K-State Offensive Adjustment
Collin Klein has made a notable in-season shift on the Kansas State sideline, turning over play-calling duties after the first eight games and asking offensive coordinator Sean Gleeson to handle that job beginning with the Oklahoma State game. For a coach who was already juggling the demands of running a program, the move reflects a desire to step back from the weekly grind and keep his attention on the broader responsibilities that come with being a head coach.
Klein framed the change as a way to reduce stress and sharpen his focus on the bigger picture, but it does not sound like a permanent handoff. He left open the possibility of resuming play-calling later, which makes this less like a full reset and more like a calculated adjustment as the Wildcats try to navigate the rest of the season. [Read more 🡒]
Kansas State Is Feeling Some Transfer Losses More Than Others
Kansas States transfer departures have become part of the backdrop to the programs recent transition, and the impact is showing up in different ways depending on who left and where they landed. Some of the former Wildcats who moved on after the coaching changes have settled into new roles at major programs, while others are still trying to find the same footing they had in Manhattan. For a team navigating the demands of the 2026 season, those exits are more than a roster note, because they shape both the depth chart and the sense of what might have been.
Malcolm Alcorn-Crowder at SMU and Jayce Brown at LSU are among the names drawing the most attention, not just because of where they ended up, but because of what their departures say about Kansas States talent pipeline. The Wildcats have had to absorb those losses while also dealing with the broader challenge of keeping the roster steady through a coaching transition, and the full effect is still unfolding as those former players continue their new chapters elsewhere. [Read more 🡒]
Kansas State Heads To TCU With A Major Quarterback Problem
Kansas State heads into its trip to TCU dealing with a quarterback situation that leaves the offense in a difficult spot. Avery Johnson is out, and backup Jacob Knuth is also unavailable, adding to a list of absences that includes DeArieun Hicks, Sawyer Schilke and Eli Jackson. Max Lovett is listed as questionable, so the Wildcats are still waiting on one more possible answer before kickoff.
The injury report is a challenge on both sides of the matchup, with TCU also set to be without seven players and two safeties listed as questionable. Even so, the Wildcats concerns are the more immediate storyline because of what the quarterback losses mean for how they can function on offense. With depth already being tested, Kansas State will have to sort through its options quickly before facing a conference opponent that has its own availability issues to manage. [Read more 🡒]