Kansas Faces One Sunflower Showdown Problem Fans Know Too Well

As Kansas aims to snap Kansas State's 17-game winning streak in the eagerly anticipated Sunflower Showdown, both teams bring formidable strengths to the gridiron this Saturday.

The Sunflower Showdown brings another Kansas vs. Kansas State meeting on Saturday, and the setup is familiar: the Wildcats are favored, the Jayhawks are looking to snap a long skid, and the series history still belongs to Kansas State.

Kansas State has owned this matchup for years, riding a 17-game winning streak that dates back to 2009. Kansas came close in 2024, falling 29-27, but the Jayhawks still walk into this one with the streak intact and a real chance to end it.

A big reason Kansas State remains the team to beat is Avery Johnson. He’s been one of college football’s most dangerous dual-threat quarterbacks, throwing for 1,092 yards and nine touchdowns while also piling up 330 rushing yards, which leads the Wildcats. If Kansas wants to stay in this game, slowing him down has to be a priority.

What makes this matchup interesting is how little separates the two teams in the numbers. Kansas and Kansas State are clustered together in a lot of key efficiency categories, with Kansas sitting 24th and Kansas State 43rd in adjusted net EPA per play, while the Wildcats are 24th and the Jayhawks 47th in net success rate. Kansas has shown more big-play juice, but Kansas State has been steadier on a snap-to-snap basis.

The clearest strength-on-strength battle comes on the ground. Kansas State’s rushing offense ranks 13th nationally in EPA per rush, while Kansas counters with a run defense that ranks 21st in opponent EPA per rush.

That’s why the points feel appealing here. With these teams lined up so closely in several metrics, the value sits with the side getting the cushion, and this one has the ingredients for a tight game. Kansas may finally have the opening it has been chasing for years.

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