Royals Return Home With Pressure On Key Arms And Bats

As the Royals return home with hopes of rejuvenation, key players face pivotal opportunities to shift their momentum in a crucial series against the Athletics.

The Royals are back home after a six-game trip out west that ended with a 2-4 mark, though they did leave Anaheim with a series win over the Angels. Now they open a seven-game homestand with four straight against the Athletics of no particular city, and Kansas City will lean on a rotation that brings a little bit of everything to the table.

The series opens with Michael Wacha (5-8, 3.47 ERA) facing Mason Barnett (1-3, 6.16 ERA). Game two features Daniel Lynch IV (4-4, 2.88 ERA) against Jack Perkins (2-9, 7.27 ERA).

Seth Lugo (5-7, 4.59 ERA) is set for game three opposite Gage Jump (5-7, 4.50 ERA), and the finale pairs Randy Dobnak (2-1, 1.73 ERA) with J.T. Ginn (8-7, 3.53 ERA).

Dobnak’s latest outing was a strong rebound from a rough showing against the Cubs. Against the Angels, he went 5.2 innings, gave up four hits, allowed no runs and walked two while striking out a season-high six. Kansas City still lost 1-0, but Dobnak has been doing exactly what the Royals hoped for since bringing him in.

He may not pile up strikeouts or completely avoid traffic, but he keeps digging out of trouble and making hitters pay. The biggest drivers behind his success in a Royals uniform have been his LOB% and his ability to get ground balls.

Among starters with at least 30 innings pitched, Dobnak’s 88.4 LOB% ranks third, and his 54.0% ground ball rate ranks eighth. He’s leaning hard into what he does best, and it’s working.

Lynch IV, meanwhile, has had a tougher time settling back into the rotation. Since returning to starting, he has made two starts and posted a 13.50 ERA over four innings. Those outings came against the Cubs and Dodgers, two strong clubs, but the results haven’t matched his usual level.

In both appearances, he allowed three hits and three runs, just in different ways. The Cubs got to him with some control issues, as he walked two, while the Dodgers hurt him with the long ball, including two homers in 2.1 innings. There has been one consistent positive: he has still missed bats, striking out five across those two starts.

Lynch has already faced the Athletics and has handled them well before, so this matchup could offer a chance to straighten things out.

At the plate, Carter Jensen has been in a deep funk since August began. He is hitting .091/.245/.205 with an OPS of .450 and a wRC+ of 33, and the Royals have felt that absence of production in the lineup. During that stretch, he has produced very few line drives at 10.3%, lifted a lot of fly balls at 51.7%, and has not done much damage with his contact, posting a 37.9% hard-hit rate.

There are a few possible reasons for the slump, but a mental reset might be part of the answer. He has at least continued to draw walks at a 15.1% clip. Kansas City will hope a series against an Athletics pitching staff without many standout options can help Jensen find his swing again.

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Witts production has stayed loud all season, with a .287 average, 15 home runs, 47 RBIs and 33 stolen bases across 108 games, and the broader team record has not dimmed his value. For a Royals club still searching for consistency, his blend of contact, power and speed has given the lineup a centerpiece and the fan base a reason to believe there is still something to build around. [Read more 🡒]