Royals Cannot Afford To Wait On This Core Decision Much Longer

With the Cardinals setting the precedent with JJ Wetherholt's extension, the Royals are now eyeing a similar path with rising star Carter Jensen.

The Cardinals just made a loud statement with JJ Wetherholt, and it puts the Royals in a pretty obvious spot: Carter Jensen looks like the next young player Kansas City should seriously consider locking up.

St. Louis extended Wetherholt on an eight-year deal that was later revealed to be worth $112.5 million, according to Jeff Passan of ESPN.

The move came after the rookie posted a 118 wRC+ and 3.6 fWAR in his debut season, and it fits a broader trend around the league. Colt Emerson got an eight-year extension from the Mariners, and Luis Lara landed a seven-year deal from the Brewers before even making his MLB debut a few days ago.

That kind of commitment is exactly why Jensen belongs in the conversation now.

The 23-year-old catcher has taken over the Royals’ starting job while Salvador Perez keeps sliding, and he’s giving Kansas City real production at a spot that matters. Jensen is hitting .246/.312/.438 with 13 homers, 49 RBI and a 104 wRC+, and he’s also handled the leadoff role, giving the Royals a long-sought answer at the top of the lineup.

Lately, he’s been even better. Since June 6, the former top prospect is slashing .308/.356/.561 with six homers, 21 RBI and a 148 wRC+.

He looks comfortable in every sense of the word. Jensen is already carrying two major responsibilities for the Royals: setting the table at the top and handling the pitching staff behind the plate. Perez isn’t getting better defensively, so the path forward feels pretty clear.

Kansas City’s competitive window is supposed to open in 2027 and beyond, and Jensen looks like part of that core alongside Bobby Witt Jr., Maikel Garcia and the rest of the group the Royals hope can drive the next winning era. If the future is coming anyway, there’s a strong case for getting ahead of it.

Jensen may be the cleanest extension candidate, but he’s not the only young Royal who could force the issue.

Jac Caglianone has put together a solid year at the plate with a .777 OPS and 113 wRC+, but there are still some real questions. He started slowly, hasn’t shown strong plate discipline with a 30.0% K-rate, and he plays a less valuable defensive position than Jensen.

He also hasn’t fully matched the expectations that come with being a Top 10 draft pick. His strong June is the best sign yet that the ceiling is real, but he still hasn’t looked like a consistent future star.

The Royals may be better off waiting until the offseason or later, when there’s more success on the ledger, before making a call there.

Noah Cameron is a different kind of case. He could push Kansas City toward a deal because of need as much as performance.

Cole Ragans’ injury situation remains uncertain after UCL surgery, and he won’t be back until at least the middle of 2027. Michael Wacha and Seth Lugo are getting older, and Kris Bubic is likely headed for free agency after his injury-riddled 2026 campaign.

That leaves the Royals’ rotation looking shaky.

Cameron has his own warning signs, too. After posting a 2.99 ERA and finishing near the top of AL Rookie of the Year voting in 2025, he’s sitting on a 4.77 ERA through the first half of this season. Still, the former top five prospect in the Royals system has a 3.81 FIP and a varied pitch mix, which keeps him squarely in the picture for the future.

He’s not someone Kansas City should build the rotation around, and he doesn’t belong in the same mega-extension conversation as Jensen. But a shorter deal that buys out some arbitration years could make sense if the Royals want a little more stability in a rotation with plenty of uncertainty.

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